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icon for ニューヨーク市長#ポスト2026年9月15日~ 9月22日?

ニューヨーク市長#ポスト2026年9月15日~ 9月22日?

icon for ニューヨーク市長#ポスト2026年9月15日~ 9月22日?

ニューヨーク市長#ポスト2026年9月15日~ 9月22日?

20~39 79%

40~59 16%

120~139 5.2%

80~99 4.9%

Polymarket
新規

20~39 79%

40~59 16%

120~139 5.2%

80~99 4.9%

Polymarket
新規

20未満

$77 Vol.

1%

20~39

$497 Vol.

79%

40~59

$128 Vol.

16%

60~79

$40 Vol.

4%

80~99

$0 Vol.

5%

100〜119

$132 Vol.

4%

120~139

$0 Vol.

5%

140〜159

$20 Vol.

1%

160〜179

$20 Vol.

1%

180〜199

$20 Vol.

1%

200以上

$20 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Zohran Mamdani, New York City’s mayor since January 2026, maintains a steady X posting pace on @NYCMayor that has produced weekly totals in the 20–59 range across recent comparable periods.** Trader consensus places the highest probability (79%) on 20–39 posts for September 15–22, 2026, with 40–59 a distant second at 16%, reflecting observed patterns where the account typically issues main-feed posts, quote posts, and reposts at a moderate clip without major spikes. The period follows the September 11 anniversary commemorations, which featured multiple official remarks and related announcements on school openings, housing transfers, and public safety briefings, but lacks scheduled high-volume events such as budget votes, major policy rollouts, or crises that could drive elevated activity. Historical resolution data from similar weekly buckets show this range dominating absent unusual news cycles, aligning with the current implied probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$954
終了日
2026/09/22
マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

結算ソース

https://x.com/NYCMayor

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Zohran Mamdani, New York City’s mayor since January 2026, maintains a steady X posting pace on @NYCMayor that has produced weekly totals in the 20–59 range across recent comparable periods.** Trader consensus places the highest probability (79%) on 20–39 posts for September 15–22, 2026, with 40–59 a distant second at 16%, reflecting observed patterns where the account typically issues main-feed posts, quote posts, and reposts at a moderate clip without major spikes. The period follows the September 11 anniversary commemorations, which featured multiple official remarks and related announcements on school openings, housing transfers, and public safety briefings, but lacks scheduled high-volume events such as budget votes, major policy rollouts, or crises that could drive elevated activity. Historical resolution data from similar weekly buckets show this range dominating absent unusual news cycles, aligning with the current implied probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$954
終了日
2026/09/22
マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

結算ソース

https://x.com/NYCMayor

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ニューヨーク市長#ポスト2026年9月15日~ 9月22日?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「20~39」で79%、次いで「40~59」が17%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、79¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に79%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「ニューヨーク市長#ポスト2026年9月15日~ 9月22日?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Sep 12, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「ニューヨーク市長#ポスト2026年9月15日~ 9月22日?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ニューヨーク市長#ポスト2026年9月15日~ 9月22日?」の現在のフロントランナーは「20~39」で79%であり、市場がこの結果に79%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「40~59」で17%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ニューヨーク市長#ポスト2026年9月15日~ 9月22日?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。