Skip to main content

米国で取引するにはpolymarket.us

icon for ホワイトハウスは午後6時30分までに完全な蓋をしますか? ( 9月14日~ 9月19日)

ホワイトハウスは午後6時30分までに完全な蓋をしますか? ( 9月14日~ 9月19日)

icon for ホワイトハウスは午後6時30分までに完全な蓋をしますか? ( 9月14日~ 9月19日)

ホワイトハウスは午後6時30分までに完全な蓋をしますか? ( 9月14日~ 9月19日)

新規
2026/09/14
Polymarket

$361 Vol.

Polymarket

9月14日

$2 Vol.

27%

9月15日

$2 Vol.

28%

9月16日

$0 Vol.

20%

9月17日

$0 Vol.

27%

9月18日

$107 Vol.

79%

9月19日

$250 Vol.

30%

A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. A qualifying full lid may be reported by the resolution sources through 11:59 PM ET on the following day, provided the source indicates that it was called by the 6:30 PM ET cutoff. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).The White House press pool typically receives a full lid announcement once the President’s public schedule concludes for the day, with no further official events, remarks, or pool coverage expected. For the September 14–19 window, the immediate backdrop is President Trump’s return from Ireland on September 13 after bilateral meetings, golf tournament attendance, and related travel pool activity. Routine factors shaping daily timing include executive time blocks, policy or signing meetings in the Oval Office, any domestic travel, or late-breaking announcements that extend coverage. Markets of this type often hinge on whether the administration maintains a standard early-evening close or encounters developments—such as legislative updates, agency actions, or unscheduled press interactions—that push activity past the 6:30 PM ET threshold. Historical pool reports show lids frequently fall between 5:00 PM and 7:00 PM during non-travel weeks.

A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution.

A qualifying full lid may be reported by the resolution sources through 11:59 PM ET on the following day, provided the source indicates that it was called by the 6:30 PM ET cutoff.

This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).
A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. A qualifying full lid may be reported by the resolution sources through 11:59 PM ET on the following day, provided the source indicates that it was called by the 6:30 PM ET cutoff. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).
音量
$361
終了日
2026/09/19
マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 5:42 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. A qualifying full lid may be reported by the resolution sources through 11:59 PM ET on the following day, provided the source indicates that it was called by the 6:30 PM ET cutoff. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).The White House press pool typically receives a full lid announcement once the President’s public schedule concludes for the day, with no further official events, remarks, or pool coverage expected. For the September 14–19 window, the immediate backdrop is President Trump’s return from Ireland on September 13 after bilateral meetings, golf tournament attendance, and related travel pool activity. Routine factors shaping daily timing include executive time blocks, policy or signing meetings in the Oval Office, any domestic travel, or late-breaking announcements that extend coverage. Markets of this type often hinge on whether the administration maintains a standard early-evening close or encounters developments—such as legislative updates, agency actions, or unscheduled press interactions—that push activity past the 6:30 PM ET threshold. Historical pool reports show lids frequently fall between 5:00 PM and 7:00 PM during non-travel weeks.

A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution.

A qualifying full lid may be reported by the resolution sources through 11:59 PM ET on the following day, provided the source indicates that it was called by the 6:30 PM ET cutoff.

This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).
A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. A qualifying full lid may be reported by the resolution sources through 11:59 PM ET on the following day, provided the source indicates that it was called by the 6:30 PM ET cutoff. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).
音量
$361
終了日
2026/09/19
マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 5:42 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ホワイトハウスは午後6時30分までに完全な蓋をしますか? ( 9月14日~ 9月19日)」はPolymarket上の6個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「9月18日」で79%、次いで「9月19日」が30%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、79¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に79%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「ホワイトハウスは午後6時30分までに完全な蓋をしますか? ( 9月14日~ 9月19日)」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Sep 11, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「ホワイトハウスは午後6時30分までに完全な蓋をしますか? ( 9月14日~ 9月19日)」で取引するには、このページに記載されている6個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ホワイトハウスは午後6時30分までに完全な蓋をしますか? ( 9月14日~ 9月19日)」の現在のフロントランナーは「9月18日」で79%であり、市場がこの結果に79%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「9月19日」で30%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ホワイトハウスは午後6時30分までに完全な蓋をしますか? ( 9月14日~ 9月19日)」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。