Incumbent Democrat George Latimer holds a commanding position in New York's 16th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflected in the market's heavy Democratic consensus. The district's D+18 partisan voter index, drawn from recent presidential results, combined with Latimer's 2024 victory margin exceeding 40 points, underpins trader assessments of limited Republican viability against nominee Joseph Cinquemani. Both party primaries concluded without contest in June, leaving the race focused on general election dynamics in southern Westchester County and parts of the Bronx. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, aligning with the wisdom of crowds pricing in structural advantages. A major scandal, health event, or dramatic national realignment could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$41,135 Vol.
$41,135 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
96%
共和党
2%
$41,135 Vol.
$41,135 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
$30,678 Vol.
96%
共和党
$10,457 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat George Latimer holds a commanding position in New York's 16th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflected in the market's heavy Democratic consensus. The district's D+18 partisan voter index, drawn from recent presidential results, combined with Latimer's 2024 victory margin exceeding 40 points, underpins trader assessments of limited Republican viability against nominee Joseph Cinquemani. Both party primaries concluded without contest in June, leaving the race focused on general election dynamics in southern Westchester County and parts of the Bronx. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, aligning with the wisdom of crowds pricing in structural advantages. A major scandal, health event, or dramatic national realignment could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$41,135終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat George Latimer holds a commanding position in New York's 16th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflected in the market's heavy Democratic consensus. The district's D+18 partisan voter index, drawn from recent presidential results, combined with Latimer's 2024 victory margin exceeding 40 points, underpins trader assessments of limited Republican viability against nominee Joseph Cinquemani. Both party primaries concluded without contest in June, leaving the race focused on general election dynamics in southern Westchester County and parts of the Bronx. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, aligning with the wisdom of crowds pricing in structural advantages. A major scandal, health event, or dramatic national realignment could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$41,135終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat George Latimer holds a commanding position in New York's 16th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflected in the market's heavy Democratic consensus. The district's D+18 partisan voter index, drawn from recent presidential results, combined with Latimer's 2024 victory margin exceeding 40 points, underpins trader assessments of limited Republican viability against nominee Joseph Cinquemani. Both party primaries concluded without contest in June, leaving the race focused on general election dynamics in southern Westchester County and parts of the Bronx. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, aligning with the wisdom of crowds pricing in structural advantages. A major scandal, health event, or dramatic national realignment could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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