The Missouri 7th Congressional District’s R+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Republican performance in recent presidential and congressional elections anchor trader consensus at 95% for the Republican nominee. Incumbent Eric Burlison secured his party’s nomination on August 4, 2026, with roughly three-quarters of the primary vote against two challengers, preserving continuity heading into the November 3 general election. The Democratic nominee faces structural barriers in a district that includes heavily Republican southwest Missouri counties and has shown limited crossover support. While low-probability events such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Democratic midterm environment could narrow the margin, historical base rates and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals make such shifts unlikely before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$23,359 Vol.
$23,359 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
95%
民主党
6%
$23,359 Vol.
$23,359 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$17,012 Vol.
95%
民主党
$6,347 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Missouri 7th Congressional District’s R+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Republican performance in recent presidential and congressional elections anchor trader consensus at 95% for the Republican nominee. Incumbent Eric Burlison secured his party’s nomination on August 4, 2026, with roughly three-quarters of the primary vote against two challengers, preserving continuity heading into the November 3 general election. The Democratic nominee faces structural barriers in a district that includes heavily Republican southwest Missouri counties and has shown limited crossover support. While low-probability events such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Democratic midterm environment could narrow the margin, historical base rates and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals make such shifts unlikely before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$23,359終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Missouri 7th Congressional District’s R+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Republican performance in recent presidential and congressional elections anchor trader consensus at 95% for the Republican nominee. Incumbent Eric Burlison secured his party’s nomination on August 4, 2026, with roughly three-quarters of the primary vote against two challengers, preserving continuity heading into the November 3 general election. The Democratic nominee faces structural barriers in a district that includes heavily Republican southwest Missouri counties and has shown limited crossover support. While low-probability events such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Democratic midterm environment could narrow the margin, historical base rates and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals make such shifts unlikely before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$23,359終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Missouri 7th Congressional District’s R+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Republican performance in recent presidential and congressional elections anchor trader consensus at 95% for the Republican nominee. Incumbent Eric Burlison secured his party’s nomination on August 4, 2026, with roughly three-quarters of the primary vote against two challengers, preserving continuity heading into the November 3 general election. The Democratic nominee faces structural barriers in a district that includes heavily Republican southwest Missouri counties and has shown limited crossover support. While low-probability events such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Democratic midterm environment could narrow the margin, historical base rates and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals make such shifts unlikely before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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