PAN leads opposition polling for Mexico's June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election by consistent margins over the PRI and Movimiento Ciudadano, positioning it as the clearest contender for second place behind Morena. Recent surveys through August 2026 show PAN capturing 12-18% of intended vote compared with the PRI's 8-13% and lower shares for PVEM, PT, and MC, reflecting PAN's stronger national structure and voter recognition. The party's October 2025 decision to contest independently has not altered its edge, though local discussions of selective PAN-PRI associations in key states continue amid efforts to consolidate opposition votes. Morena's sustained dominance above 38% reinforces expectations that the contest centers on which opposition force finishes ahead of the rest, with traders assigning the highest probability to PAN based on these patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日PAN 73%
PRI 12.9%
PVEM 6%
MC 3.7%
$81,464 Vol.
$81,464 Vol.

PAN
73%

PRI
13%

PT
<1%

PVEM
6%

MC
4%

Morena
3%
PAN 73%
PRI 12.9%
PVEM 6%
MC 3.7%
$81,464 Vol.
$81,464 Vol.

PAN
73%

PRI
13%

PT
<1%

PVEM
6%

MC
4%

Morena
3%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
マーケット開始日: May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...PAN leads opposition polling for Mexico's June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election by consistent margins over the PRI and Movimiento Ciudadano, positioning it as the clearest contender for second place behind Morena. Recent surveys through August 2026 show PAN capturing 12-18% of intended vote compared with the PRI's 8-13% and lower shares for PVEM, PT, and MC, reflecting PAN's stronger national structure and voter recognition. The party's October 2025 decision to contest independently has not altered its edge, though local discussions of selective PAN-PRI associations in key states continue amid efforts to consolidate opposition votes. Morena's sustained dominance above 38% reinforces expectations that the contest centers on which opposition force finishes ahead of the rest, with traders assigning the highest probability to PAN based on these patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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