**AfD leads the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election market at 81% implied probability because multiple late-August polls show the party holding a narrow but consistent lead over the SPD as the strongest force two weeks before the 20 September vote.** Recent Infratest dimap and Forsa surveys place AfD at 35–37% and SPD at 28–32%, with the latter gaining ground but remaining behind. The incumbent SPD–Left coalition trails a majority threshold in current trends, while other parties including CDU, Greens, Linke, BSW, and FDP poll well below levels that would alter the first-place outcome. Traders price AfD as the frontrunner for the largest share of seats under the state’s proportional system, reflecting sustained polling advantages and limited realistic paths for rivals to overtake it before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日AfD 81%
SPD 20%
リンクェ <1%
FW <1%
$720,057 Vol.
$720,057 Vol.
2026/09/19
AfD
81%
SPD
20%
リンクェ
<1%
FW
<1%
CDU
<1%
グリューネ
<1%
FDP
<1%
BSW
<1%
AfD 81%
SPD 20%
リンクェ <1%
FW <1%
$720,057 Vol.
$720,057 Vol.
2026/09/19
AfD
$198,901 Vol.
81%
SPD
$162,219 Vol.
20%
リンクェ
$27,668 Vol.
<1%
FW
$115,965 Vol.
<1%
CDU
$44,445 Vol.
<1%
グリューネ
$71,444 Vol.
<1%
FDP
$77,089 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$22,326 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).**AfD leads the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election market at 81% implied probability because multiple late-August polls show the party holding a narrow but consistent lead over the SPD as the strongest force two weeks before the 20 September vote.** Recent Infratest dimap and Forsa surveys place AfD at 35–37% and SPD at 28–32%, with the latter gaining ground but remaining behind. The incumbent SPD–Left coalition trails a majority threshold in current trends, while other parties including CDU, Greens, Linke, BSW, and FDP poll well below levels that would alter the first-place outcome. Traders price AfD as the frontrunner for the largest share of seats under the state’s proportional system, reflecting sustained polling advantages and limited realistic paths for rivals to overtake it before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
マーケット開始日： Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
音量
$720,057終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).**AfD leads the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election market at 81% implied probability because multiple late-August polls show the party holding a narrow but consistent lead over the SPD as the strongest force two weeks before the 20 September vote.** Recent Infratest dimap and Forsa surveys place AfD at 35–37% and SPD at 28–32%, with the latter gaining ground but remaining behind. The incumbent SPD–Left coalition trails a majority threshold in current trends, while other parties including CDU, Greens, Linke, BSW, and FDP poll well below levels that would alter the first-place outcome. Traders price AfD as the frontrunner for the largest share of seats under the state’s proportional system, reflecting sustained polling advantages and limited realistic paths for rivals to overtake it before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
音量
$720,057終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...**AfD leads the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election market at 81% implied probability because multiple late-August polls show the party holding a narrow but consistent lead over the SPD as the strongest force two weeks before the 20 September vote.** Recent Infratest dimap and Forsa surveys place AfD at 35–37% and SPD at 28–32%, with the latter gaining ground but remaining behind. The incumbent SPD–Left coalition trails a majority threshold in current trends, while other parties including CDU, Greens, Linke, BSW, and FDP poll well below levels that would alter the first-place outcome. Traders price AfD as the frontrunner for the largest share of seats under the state’s proportional system, reflecting sustained polling advantages and limited realistic paths for rivals to overtake it before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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