**Maranhão’s Senate race for the second seat remains highly competitive ahead of the October 4, 2026 election, with two seats awarded under plurality block voting.** Multiple candidates—including incumbents Weverton Rocha (PDT) and Eliziane Gama (PT), plus challengers such as Roseana Sarney (MDB), André Fufuca (PP), and Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO)—are polling within a narrow band for second place, keeping implied probabilities clustered near 40-50%. Recent party conventions finalized an 11-candidate field in early August, while polls released in the same period show Roseana Sarney leading overall but a fragmented contest for the runner-up spot. This dynamic sustains tight trader pricing because small shifts in voter preferences, turnout among key regional blocs, or late alliances could reorder the ranking without a dominant frontrunner emerging. Further polling releases or campaign momentum through September represent the clearest catalysts for separation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Raimundo Moreira 45%
Wilson Leite 26%
Simplício Araújo 26%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo 25%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
Raimundo Moreira
45%
Wilson Leite
26%
Simplício Araújo
26%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
25%
Enilton Rodrigues
25%
Weverton Rocha
22%
Lahesio Bonfim
22%
Cidônio Gonçalves
21%
Eliziane Gama
21%
Fufuca
20%
Roseana Sarney
19%
Raimundo Moreira 45%
Wilson Leite 26%
Simplício Araújo 26%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo 25%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
Raimundo Moreira
$36 Vol.
45%
Wilson Leite
$36 Vol.
26%
Simplício Araújo
$36 Vol.
26%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
$36 Vol.
25%
Enilton Rodrigues
$36 Vol.
25%
Weverton Rocha
$36 Vol.
22%
Lahesio Bonfim
$36 Vol.
22%
Cidônio Gonçalves
$36 Vol.
21%
Eliziane Gama
$36 Vol.
21%
Fufuca
$52 Vol.
20%
Roseana Sarney
$36 Vol.
19%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Maranhão’s Senate race for the second seat remains highly competitive ahead of the October 4, 2026 election, with two seats awarded under plurality block voting.** Multiple candidates—including incumbents Weverton Rocha (PDT) and Eliziane Gama (PT), plus challengers such as Roseana Sarney (MDB), André Fufuca (PP), and Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO)—are polling within a narrow band for second place, keeping implied probabilities clustered near 40-50%. Recent party conventions finalized an 11-candidate field in early August, while polls released in the same period show Roseana Sarney leading overall but a fragmented contest for the runner-up spot. This dynamic sustains tight trader pricing because small shifts in voter preferences, turnout among key regional blocs, or late alliances could reorder the ranking without a dominant frontrunner emerging. Further polling releases or campaign momentum through September represent the clearest catalysts for separation.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET
音量
$412終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Maranhão’s Senate race for the second seat remains highly competitive ahead of the October 4, 2026 election, with two seats awarded under plurality block voting.** Multiple candidates—including incumbents Weverton Rocha (PDT) and Eliziane Gama (PT), plus challengers such as Roseana Sarney (MDB), André Fufuca (PP), and Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO)—are polling within a narrow band for second place, keeping implied probabilities clustered near 40-50%. Recent party conventions finalized an 11-candidate field in early August, while polls released in the same period show Roseana Sarney leading overall but a fragmented contest for the runner-up spot. This dynamic sustains tight trader pricing because small shifts in voter preferences, turnout among key regional blocs, or late alliances could reorder the ranking without a dominant frontrunner emerging. Further polling releases or campaign momentum through September represent the clearest catalysts for separation.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$412終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Maranhão’s Senate race for the second seat remains highly competitive ahead of the October 4, 2026 election, with two seats awarded under plurality block voting.** Multiple candidates—including incumbents Weverton Rocha (PDT) and Eliziane Gama (PT), plus challengers such as Roseana Sarney (MDB), André Fufuca (PP), and Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO)—are polling within a narrow band for second place, keeping implied probabilities clustered near 40-50%. Recent party conventions finalized an 11-candidate field in early August, while polls released in the same period show Roseana Sarney leading overall but a fragmented contest for the runner-up spot. This dynamic sustains tight trader pricing because small shifts in voter preferences, turnout among key regional blocs, or late alliances could reorder the ranking without a dominant frontrunner emerging. Further polling releases or campaign momentum through September represent the clearest catalysts for separation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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