**Trader consensus strongly favors a 19°C low in Seoul/Incheon on September 18, 2026 (98% implied probability), driven by consistent official and model forecasts.** Multiple sources, including Korean Meteorological Administration-aligned reports and international models, project a nighttime minimum of 19°C under partly cloudy to clear conditions with light easterly winds and no significant precipitation or frontal activity. Highs are expected near 28–29°C, consistent with typical mid-September climatology for the region. This positioning reflects real-time convergence across forecasts hours before resolution, with no recent shifts from model runs or observational data suggesting deviation. A 19°C low aligns with the consensus minimum reported for Incheon International Airport and Seoul stations. Realistic challenges remain limited but include minor station-specific measurement differences (e.g., urban heat island effects or exact timing of the daily minimum) or an unexpected late-day cooling from localized cloud cover, though current conditions make these low-probability outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月18日のソウル(仁川)の最低気温は?
19°C 98%
17℃ 1.9%
18℃ <1%
15℃以下 <1%
$11,482 Vol.
$11,482 Vol.
15℃以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17℃
2%
18℃
<1%
19°C
98%
20℃
<1%
21℃
<1%
22°C
<1%
23℃
<1%
24℃
<1%
25℃以上
<1%
19°C 98%
17℃ 1.9%
18℃ <1%
15℃以下 <1%
$11,482 Vol.
$11,482 Vol.
15℃以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17℃
2%
18℃
<1%
19°C
98%
20℃
<1%
21℃
<1%
22°C
<1%
23℃
<1%
24℃
<1%
25℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader consensus strongly favors a 19°C low in Seoul/Incheon on September 18, 2026 (98% implied probability), driven by consistent official and model forecasts.** Multiple sources, including Korean Meteorological Administration-aligned reports and international models, project a nighttime minimum of 19°C under partly cloudy to clear conditions with light easterly winds and no significant precipitation or frontal activity. Highs are expected near 28–29°C, consistent with typical mid-September climatology for the region. This positioning reflects real-time convergence across forecasts hours before resolution, with no recent shifts from model runs or observational data suggesting deviation. A 19°C low aligns with the consensus minimum reported for Incheon International Airport and Seoul stations. Realistic challenges remain limited but include minor station-specific measurement differences (e.g., urban heat island effects or exact timing of the daily minimum) or an unexpected late-day cooling from localized cloud cover, though current conditions make these low-probability outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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