**Trader sentiment clusters around 25–26°C minima for September 2, reflecting HKO forecasts of 26–31°C amid tropical cyclone Sadel and northeast monsoon influences.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate northerly to northwesterly winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows elevated compared to clearer conditions. High humidity (70–95%) further moderates temperature drops, while brief afternoon sunshine may allow modest daytime warming before evening stabilization. Model consensus from multiple sources points to minima near 25–26°C, with slight variations arising from exact timing of showers and wind strength. Upcoming HKO updates and refined model runs will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月2日の香港の最低気温は?
25°C 39%
26°C 39%
31°C or higher 23%
30°C 21%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
14%
23°C
19%
24°C
14%
25°C
39%
26°C
33%
27°C
19%
28°C
5%
29°C
19%
30°C
21%
31°C or higher
23%
25°C 39%
26°C 39%
31°C or higher 23%
30°C 21%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
14%
23°C
19%
24°C
14%
25°C
39%
26°C
33%
27°C
19%
28°C
5%
29°C
19%
30°C
21%
31°C or higher
23%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment clusters around 25–26°C minima for September 2, reflecting HKO forecasts of 26–31°C amid tropical cyclone Sadel and northeast monsoon influences.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate northerly to northwesterly winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows elevated compared to clearer conditions. High humidity (70–95%) further moderates temperature drops, while brief afternoon sunshine may allow modest daytime warming before evening stabilization. Model consensus from multiple sources points to minima near 25–26°C, with slight variations arising from exact timing of showers and wind strength. Upcoming HKO updates and refined model runs will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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