A broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea and Guangdong coast drove the dominant pattern on August 31, 2026, delivering persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that suppressed daytime heating while limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and regional observations consistently projected a daily minimum near 27°C under light northerly flow and high humidity (75-95%), aligning with the market's leading 26°C outcome. Earlier August extremes, including record highs above 36°C mid-month, gave way to this moderating southerly-to-northerly transition, keeping overnight lows above typical August climatology yet below the hotter, clearer spells seen earlier in the season. No tropical cyclone signals or major steering changes altered the setup, reinforcing trader consensus around the 26-27°C range ahead of final verification.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月31日の香港の最低気温は?
26°C 77.7%
31°C or higher 29.6%
24°C 5.2%
27°C 3.0%
$19,103 Vol.
$19,103 Vol.
21°C or below
-
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
8%
26°C
78%
27°C
3%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
22%
31°C or higher
30%
26°C 77.7%
31°C or higher 29.6%
24°C 5.2%
27°C 3.0%
$19,103 Vol.
$19,103 Vol.
21°C or below
-
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
8%
26°C
78%
27°C
3%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
22%
31°C or higher
30%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...A broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea and Guangdong coast drove the dominant pattern on August 31, 2026, delivering persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that suppressed daytime heating while limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and regional observations consistently projected a daily minimum near 27°C under light northerly flow and high humidity (75-95%), aligning with the market's leading 26°C outcome. Earlier August extremes, including record highs above 36°C mid-month, gave way to this moderating southerly-to-northerly transition, keeping overnight lows above typical August climatology yet below the hotter, clearer spells seen earlier in the season. No tropical cyclone signals or major steering changes altered the setup, reinforcing trader consensus around the 26-27°C range ahead of final verification.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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