**Forecast consensus from regional models points to an overnight minimum in Guangzhou of 26–28°C on September 18, 2026, underpinning the near-even market odds between 27°C and 28°C.** Persistent high humidity (70–85%) and partly cloudy skies limit nocturnal radiative cooling in this subtropical monsoon climate, while light easterly winds and scattered showers prevent sharper drops. Official observations from central stations typically resolve within a narrow range under these stable late-summer conditions, with historical September lows averaging near 24°C but recent days running warmer. Traders weigh model spreads and timing of any clearing skies against the risk of localized cooling pockets, creating tight spreads across the 26–28°C outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月18日の広州の最低気温は?
20℃以下 90%
25℃ 90%
28℃ 49%
26℃ 47%
20℃以下
90%
21°C
1%
22℃
<1%
23℃
6%
24°C
20%
25℃
90%
26℃
47%
27℃
50%
28℃
49%
29℃
<1%
30℃以上
<1%
20℃以下 90%
25℃ 90%
28℃ 49%
26℃ 47%
20℃以下
90%
21°C
1%
22℃
<1%
23℃
6%
24°C
20%
25℃
90%
26℃
47%
27℃
50%
28℃
49%
29℃
<1%
30℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Forecast consensus from regional models points to an overnight minimum in Guangzhou of 26–28°C on September 18, 2026, underpinning the near-even market odds between 27°C and 28°C.** Persistent high humidity (70–85%) and partly cloudy skies limit nocturnal radiative cooling in this subtropical monsoon climate, while light easterly winds and scattered showers prevent sharper drops. Official observations from central stations typically resolve within a narrow range under these stable late-summer conditions, with historical September lows averaging near 24°C but recent days running warmer. Traders weigh model spreads and timing of any clearing skies against the risk of localized cooling pockets, creating tight spreads across the 26–28°C outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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