Recent forecast guidance from multiple models indicates a northwest flow over Wellington on September 2, with mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and strong winds supporting daytime warming above seasonal norms near 13–14°C. This setup favors a peak temperature in the 15–17°C range, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 16°C. Northwest winds advect milder Tasman air while clear periods enhance insolation during spring’s lengthening daylight; however, model spread and potential for increased cloud or timing shifts introduce uncertainty around exact maxima. Updated runs and any last-minute adjustments to the steering pattern will be key near-term catalysts for probability shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月2日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
9月2日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
16°C 68%
15°C 18%
17°C 15%
19°C 8.4%
新規
新規
2026/09/02
10°C or below
6%
11°C
3%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
3%
15°C
18%
16°C
68%
17°C
15%
18°C
4%
19°C
8%
20°C or higher
1%
16°C 68%
15°C 18%
17°C 15%
19°C 8.4%
新規
新規
2026/09/02
10°C or below
$290 Vol.
6%
11°C
$305 Vol.
3%
12°C
$387 Vol.
1%
13°C
$258 Vol.
1%
14°C
$272 Vol.
3%
15°C
$1,681 Vol.
18%
16°C
$453 Vol.
68%
17°C
$282 Vol.
15%
18°C
$106 Vol.
4%
19°C
$217 Vol.
8%
20°C or higher
$222 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from multiple models indicates a northwest flow over Wellington on September 2, with mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and strong winds supporting daytime warming above seasonal norms near 13–14°C. This setup favors a peak temperature in the 15–17°C range, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 16°C. Northwest winds advect milder Tasman air while clear periods enhance insolation during spring’s lengthening daylight; however, model spread and potential for increased cloud or timing shifts introduce uncertainty around exact maxima. Updated runs and any last-minute adjustments to the steering pattern will be key near-term catalysts for probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$4,473終了日
2026/09/02マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from multiple models indicates a northwest flow over Wellington on September 2, with mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and strong winds supporting daytime warming above seasonal norms near 13–14°C. This setup favors a peak temperature in the 15–17°C range, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 16°C. Northwest winds advect milder Tasman air while clear periods enhance insolation during spring’s lengthening daylight; however, model spread and potential for increased cloud or timing shifts introduce uncertainty around exact maxima. Updated runs and any last-minute adjustments to the steering pattern will be key near-term catalysts for probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$4,473終了日
2026/09/02マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecast guidance from multiple models indicates a northwest flow over Wellington on September 2, with mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and strong winds supporting daytime warming above seasonal norms near 13–14°C. This setup favors a peak temperature in the 15–17°C range, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 16°C. Northwest winds advect milder Tasman air while clear periods enhance insolation during spring’s lengthening daylight; however, model spread and potential for increased cloud or timing shifts introduce uncertainty around exact maxima. Updated runs and any last-minute adjustments to the steering pattern will be key near-term catalysts for probability shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問