Forecast models from multiple sources indicate a highest temperature in Tokyo on September 19 most likely between 24–26°C under persistent overcast skies, northeasterly winds, and periods of light rain with humidity near 80–90%. These conditions limit daytime solar heating and advect cooler, moist marine air, keeping maxima below the typical late-September climatological peak near 27–28°C. Recent model runs show little disagreement on this range, with any clearing or stronger southerly flow needed to reach 27°C or above remaining unlikely before resolution. Market-implied odds concentrate on 24–26°C because these outcomes align closely with the current consensus guidance and observed trends from the preceding 24–48 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月19日の東京の最高気温は？
9月19日の東京の最高気温は？
25℃ 35%
24℃ 25%
26℃ 21%
23℃ 14%
新規
$12,433 Vol.
新規
$12,433 Vol.
2026/09/19
20°C以下
<1%
21℃
1%
22℃
2%
23℃
14%
24℃
25%
25℃
35%
26℃
21%
27℃
7%
28℃
1%
29℃
<1%
30℃以上
<1%
25℃ 35%
24℃ 25%
26℃ 21%
23℃ 14%
新規
$12,433 Vol.
新規
$12,433 Vol.
2026/09/19
20°C以下
$2,143 Vol.
<1%
21℃
$446 Vol.
1%
22℃
$723 Vol.
2%
23℃
$2,497 Vol.
14%
24℃
$1,770 Vol.
25%
25℃
$918 Vol.
35%
26℃
$748 Vol.
21%
27℃
$345 Vol.
7%
28℃
$510 Vol.
1%
29℃
$1,062 Vol.
<1%
30℃以上
$1,271 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources indicate a highest temperature in Tokyo on September 19 most likely between 24–26°C under persistent overcast skies, northeasterly winds, and periods of light rain with humidity near 80–90%. These conditions limit daytime solar heating and advect cooler, moist marine air, keeping maxima below the typical late-September climatological peak near 27–28°C. Recent model runs show little disagreement on this range, with any clearing or stronger southerly flow needed to reach 27°C or above remaining unlikely before resolution. Market-implied odds concentrate on 24–26°C because these outcomes align closely with the current consensus guidance and observed trends from the preceding 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$12,433終了日
2026/09/19マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources indicate a highest temperature in Tokyo on September 19 most likely between 24–26°C under persistent overcast skies, northeasterly winds, and periods of light rain with humidity near 80–90%. These conditions limit daytime solar heating and advect cooler, moist marine air, keeping maxima below the typical late-September climatological peak near 27–28°C. Recent model runs show little disagreement on this range, with any clearing or stronger southerly flow needed to reach 27°C or above remaining unlikely before resolution. Market-implied odds concentrate on 24–26°C because these outcomes align closely with the current consensus guidance and observed trends from the preceding 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$12,433終了日
2026/09/19マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETForecast models from multiple sources indicate a highest temperature in Tokyo on September 19 most likely between 24–26°C under persistent overcast skies, northeasterly winds, and periods of light rain with humidity near 80–90%. These conditions limit daytime solar heating and advect cooler, moist marine air, keeping maxima below the typical late-September climatological peak near 27–28°C. Recent model runs show little disagreement on this range, with any clearing or stronger southerly flow needed to reach 27°C or above remaining unlikely before resolution. Market-implied odds concentrate on 24–26°C because these outcomes align closely with the current consensus guidance and observed trends from the preceding 24–48 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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