Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a daily high in Shanghai on September 8 around 29–30°C under mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and a modest chance of scattered showers. These conditions, typical for early September in the region’s subtropical monsoon climate, support the tight market split between the 30°C (44%) and 29°C (42%) outcomes by limiting strong daytime heating while preventing significant cooling. Model consensus shows stable pressure patterns and dew points in the upper teens that favor modest diurnal ranges, with any afternoon convection potentially trimming peak readings by 1°C. Updated runs from regional agencies and refined short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours represent the key variables that could shift the narrow probability gap.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月8日の上海の最高気温は？
9月8日の上海の最高気温は？
29℃ 44%
30℃ 44%
28℃ 8%
31℃ 7%
新規
新規
2026/09/08
24℃以下
<1%
25℃
1%
26℃
1%
27℃
6%
28℃
8%
29℃
44%
30℃
44%
31℃
7%
32°C
2%
33℃
2%
34°C以上
<1%
29℃ 44%
30℃ 44%
28℃ 8%
31℃ 7%
新規
新規
2026/09/08
24℃以下
$188 Vol.
<1%
25℃
$0 Vol.
1%
26℃
$0 Vol.
1%
27℃
$0 Vol.
6%
28℃
$12 Vol.
8%
29℃
$152 Vol.
44%
30℃
$116 Vol.
44%
31℃
$105 Vol.
7%
32°C
$8 Vol.
2%
33℃
$0 Vol.
2%
34°C以上
$100 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a daily high in Shanghai on September 8 around 29–30°C under mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and a modest chance of scattered showers. These conditions, typical for early September in the region’s subtropical monsoon climate, support the tight market split between the 30°C (44%) and 29°C (42%) outcomes by limiting strong daytime heating while preventing significant cooling. Model consensus shows stable pressure patterns and dew points in the upper teens that favor modest diurnal ranges, with any afternoon convection potentially trimming peak readings by 1°C. Updated runs from regional agencies and refined short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours represent the key variables that could shift the narrow probability gap.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$681終了日
2026/09/08マーケット開始日
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a daily high in Shanghai on September 8 around 29–30°C under mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and a modest chance of scattered showers. These conditions, typical for early September in the region’s subtropical monsoon climate, support the tight market split between the 30°C (44%) and 29°C (42%) outcomes by limiting strong daytime heating while preventing significant cooling. Model consensus shows stable pressure patterns and dew points in the upper teens that favor modest diurnal ranges, with any afternoon convection potentially trimming peak readings by 1°C. Updated runs from regional agencies and refined short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours represent the key variables that could shift the narrow probability gap.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$681終了日
2026/09/08マーケット開始日
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a daily high in Shanghai on September 8 around 29–30°C under mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and a modest chance of scattered showers. These conditions, typical for early September in the region’s subtropical monsoon climate, support the tight market split between the 30°C (44%) and 29°C (42%) outcomes by limiting strong daytime heating while preventing significant cooling. Model consensus shows stable pressure patterns and dew points in the upper teens that favor modest diurnal ranges, with any afternoon convection potentially trimming peak readings by 1°C. Updated runs from regional agencies and refined short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours represent the key variables that could shift the narrow probability gap.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問