Seattle's August 4 high-temperature market reflects a warm, stable pattern under high pressure, with NWS forecasting sunny conditions and a peak near 82°F amid light northerly winds. Traders assign nearly equal weight to the 82-83°F and 84-85°F bins because official guidance can vary slightly from urban measurements, and subtle differences in afternoon mixing or marine-layer timing introduce uncertainty around the exact maximum. The broader summer context of above-normal temperatures—the 14th consecutive hotter-than-average season—supports elevated readings, while climatological August averages near 76°F highlight the current anomaly. Key near-term factors include continued clear skies and minimal cloud cover, with any model consensus shifts or updated NWS briefings likely to refine the tight market spread before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月4日のシアトルの最高気温は？
8月4日のシアトルの最高気温は？
82〜83°F 42%
84〜85°F 39%
80～81°F 10%
86～87°F 5%
新規
$15,577 Vol.
新規
$15,577 Vol.
2026/08/04
華氏75度以下
<1%
76～77°F
<1%
78〜79°F
<1%
80～81°F
10%
82〜83°F
42%
84〜85°F
39%
86～87°F
5%
88〜89°F
2%
90〜91°F
1%
92～93°F
<1%
94°F以上
<1%
82〜83°F 42%
84〜85°F 39%
80～81°F 10%
86～87°F 5%
新規
$15,577 Vol.
新規
$15,577 Vol.
2026/08/04
華氏75度以下
$536 Vol.
<1%
76～77°F
$774 Vol.
<1%
78〜79°F
$861 Vol.
<1%
80～81°F
$2,005 Vol.
10%
82〜83°F
$970 Vol.
42%
84〜85°F
$1,631 Vol.
39%
86～87°F
$2,730 Vol.
5%
88〜89°F
$1,783 Vol.
2%
90〜91°F
$3,070 Vol.
1%
92～93°F
$823 Vol.
<1%
94°F以上
$393 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Seattle's August 4 high-temperature market reflects a warm, stable pattern under high pressure, with NWS forecasting sunny conditions and a peak near 82°F amid light northerly winds. Traders assign nearly equal weight to the 82-83°F and 84-85°F bins because official guidance can vary slightly from urban measurements, and subtle differences in afternoon mixing or marine-layer timing introduce uncertainty around the exact maximum. The broader summer context of above-normal temperatures—the 14th consecutive hotter-than-average season—supports elevated readings, while climatological August averages near 76°F highlight the current anomaly. Key near-term factors include continued clear skies and minimal cloud cover, with any model consensus shifts or updated NWS briefings likely to refine the tight market spread before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
音量
$15,577終了日
2026/08/04マーケット開始日
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Seattle's August 4 high-temperature market reflects a warm, stable pattern under high pressure, with NWS forecasting sunny conditions and a peak near 82°F amid light northerly winds. Traders assign nearly equal weight to the 82-83°F and 84-85°F bins because official guidance can vary slightly from urban measurements, and subtle differences in afternoon mixing or marine-layer timing introduce uncertainty around the exact maximum. The broader summer context of above-normal temperatures—the 14th consecutive hotter-than-average season—supports elevated readings, while climatological August averages near 76°F highlight the current anomaly. Key near-term factors include continued clear skies and minimal cloud cover, with any model consensus shifts or updated NWS briefings likely to refine the tight market spread before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$15,577終了日
2026/08/04マーケット開始日
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSeattle's August 4 high-temperature market reflects a warm, stable pattern under high pressure, with NWS forecasting sunny conditions and a peak near 82°F amid light northerly winds. Traders assign nearly equal weight to the 82-83°F and 84-85°F bins because official guidance can vary slightly from urban measurements, and subtle differences in afternoon mixing or marine-layer timing introduce uncertainty around the exact maximum. The broader summer context of above-normal temperatures—the 14th consecutive hotter-than-average season—supports elevated readings, while climatological August averages near 76°F highlight the current anomaly. Key near-term factors include continued clear skies and minimal cloud cover, with any model consensus shifts or updated NWS briefings likely to refine the tight market spread before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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