Recent NWS and private forecasts for New York City on August 4, 2026, center on a high near 83°F under mostly sunny skies with light variable winds, placing the daily maximum close to the long-term Central Park average. Trader positioning reflects this tight range because model guidance shows modest uncertainty in daytime heating tied to boundary-layer moisture and any thin high-cloud interference that could limit peak insolation. Dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s will support moderate humidity without strong capping inversions, keeping the thermodynamic profile near seasonal norms following July’s extreme heat episode. Updated model runs through the afternoon and official NWS verification at Central Park remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities between the 82–85°F brackets.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月4日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
8月4日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
84～85°F 37%
82〜83°F 34%
80〜81°F 17%
86～87°F 13%
新規
$23,115 Vol.
新規
$23,115 Vol.
2026/08/04
73°F以下
<1%
74〜75°F
<1%
76〜77°F
<1%
78～79°F
1%
80〜81°F
17%
82〜83°F
34%
84～85°F
37%
86～87°F
13%
88〜89°F
3%
90～91°F
<1%
92°F以上
<1%
84～85°F 37%
82〜83°F 34%
80〜81°F 17%
86～87°F 13%
新規
$23,115 Vol.
新規
$23,115 Vol.
2026/08/04
73°F以下
$483 Vol.
<1%
74〜75°F
$508 Vol.
<1%
76〜77°F
$836 Vol.
<1%
78～79°F
$3,799 Vol.
1%
80〜81°F
$3,840 Vol.
17%
82〜83°F
$2,249 Vol.
34%
84～85°F
$3,724 Vol.
37%
86～87°F
$3,001 Vol.
13%
88〜89°F
$2,566 Vol.
3%
90～91°F
$1,635 Vol.
<1%
92°F以上
$473 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent NWS and private forecasts for New York City on August 4, 2026, center on a high near 83°F under mostly sunny skies with light variable winds, placing the daily maximum close to the long-term Central Park average. Trader positioning reflects this tight range because model guidance shows modest uncertainty in daytime heating tied to boundary-layer moisture and any thin high-cloud interference that could limit peak insolation. Dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s will support moderate humidity without strong capping inversions, keeping the thermodynamic profile near seasonal norms following July’s extreme heat episode. Updated model runs through the afternoon and official NWS verification at Central Park remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities between the 82–85°F brackets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
音量
$23,115終了日
2026/08/04マーケット開始日
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent NWS and private forecasts for New York City on August 4, 2026, center on a high near 83°F under mostly sunny skies with light variable winds, placing the daily maximum close to the long-term Central Park average. Trader positioning reflects this tight range because model guidance shows modest uncertainty in daytime heating tied to boundary-layer moisture and any thin high-cloud interference that could limit peak insolation. Dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s will support moderate humidity without strong capping inversions, keeping the thermodynamic profile near seasonal norms following July’s extreme heat episode. Updated model runs through the afternoon and official NWS verification at Central Park remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities between the 82–85°F brackets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$23,115終了日
2026/08/04マーケット開始日
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETRecent NWS and private forecasts for New York City on August 4, 2026, center on a high near 83°F under mostly sunny skies with light variable winds, placing the daily maximum close to the long-term Central Park average. Trader positioning reflects this tight range because model guidance shows modest uncertainty in daytime heating tied to boundary-layer moisture and any thin high-cloud interference that could limit peak insolation. Dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s will support moderate humidity without strong capping inversions, keeping the thermodynamic profile near seasonal norms following July’s extreme heat episode. Updated model runs through the afternoon and official NWS verification at Central Park remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities between the 82–85°F brackets.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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