Manila's peak temperatures on August 2 sit near the seasonal monsoon average of 31–32 °C, with PAGASA forecasting a 33 °C high under partly cloudy skies and 60 % rain chance. Persistent low-pressure troughs east of Luzon increase cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms, limiting solar heating and favoring the market's near-even split between 31 °C and 32 °C outcomes. Afternoon convection and high humidity can shave 1–2 °C off maximums if storms develop earlier than models indicate, while clearer breaks would allow readings to reach the upper end of the 30–33 °C envelope. Official monitoring from PAGASA and global ensembles will refine steering patterns and timing through the final 24 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月2日のマニラの最高気温は?
32℃ 39%
31℃ 37%
30°C 14%
33℃ 10%
26℃以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29℃
4%
30°C
14%
31℃
37%
32℃
39%
33℃
10%
34°C
3%
35℃
1%
36℃以上
1%
32℃ 39%
31℃ 37%
30°C 14%
33℃ 10%
26℃以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29℃
4%
30°C
14%
31℃
37%
32℃
39%
33℃
10%
34°C
3%
35℃
1%
36℃以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 31, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Manila's peak temperatures on August 2 sit near the seasonal monsoon average of 31–32 °C, with PAGASA forecasting a 33 °C high under partly cloudy skies and 60 % rain chance. Persistent low-pressure troughs east of Luzon increase cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms, limiting solar heating and favoring the market's near-even split between 31 °C and 32 °C outcomes. Afternoon convection and high humidity can shave 1–2 °C off maximums if storms develop earlier than models indicate, while clearer breaks would allow readings to reach the upper end of the 30–33 °C envelope. Official monitoring from PAGASA and global ensembles will refine steering patterns and timing through the final 24 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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