Recent short-range forecasts from agencies like the Turkish Meteorological Service and European models point to a high-pressure regime supporting afternoon maxima near 30–31°C in Istanbul on August 7, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly around 28–29°C. This reflects traders weighting localized cooling from persistent northeasterly Bosphorus sea breezes, urban heat-island moderation at official stations, and the possibility of afternoon marine-layer stratus or scattered cloud that can shave 1–3°C off peak readings. August climatology shows average highs of 28–30°C, providing a baseline where small shifts in wind timing or insolation determine whether the official maximum settles at 28°C or edges to 29°C. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution, leaving the narrow spread driven by these microscale variables rather than broader model divergence.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月7日のイスタンブールの最高気温は？
8月7日のイスタンブールの最高気温は？
28℃ 42%
29°C 38%
27℃ 13%
30°C 7%
新規
新規
2026/08/07
24°C以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26℃
2%
27℃
13%
28℃
42%
29°C
38%
30°C
7%
31℃
<1%
32℃
<1%
33℃
<1%
34℃以上
<1%
28℃ 42%
29°C 38%
27℃ 13%
30°C 7%
新規
新規
2026/08/07
24°C以下
$519 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$495 Vol.
<1%
26℃
$528 Vol.
2%
27℃
$553 Vol.
13%
28℃
$1,030 Vol.
42%
29°C
$906 Vol.
38%
30°C
$389 Vol.
7%
31℃
$297 Vol.
<1%
32℃
$307 Vol.
<1%
33℃
$479 Vol.
<1%
34℃以上
$627 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from agencies like the Turkish Meteorological Service and European models point to a high-pressure regime supporting afternoon maxima near 30–31°C in Istanbul on August 7, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly around 28–29°C. This reflects traders weighting localized cooling from persistent northeasterly Bosphorus sea breezes, urban heat-island moderation at official stations, and the possibility of afternoon marine-layer stratus or scattered cloud that can shave 1–3°C off peak readings. August climatology shows average highs of 28–30°C, providing a baseline where small shifts in wind timing or insolation determine whether the official maximum settles at 28°C or edges to 29°C. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution, leaving the narrow spread driven by these microscale variables rather than broader model divergence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
音量
$6,131終了日
2026/08/07マーケット開始日
Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from agencies like the Turkish Meteorological Service and European models point to a high-pressure regime supporting afternoon maxima near 30–31°C in Istanbul on August 7, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly around 28–29°C. This reflects traders weighting localized cooling from persistent northeasterly Bosphorus sea breezes, urban heat-island moderation at official stations, and the possibility of afternoon marine-layer stratus or scattered cloud that can shave 1–3°C off peak readings. August climatology shows average highs of 28–30°C, providing a baseline where small shifts in wind timing or insolation determine whether the official maximum settles at 28°C or edges to 29°C. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution, leaving the narrow spread driven by these microscale variables rather than broader model divergence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$6,131終了日
2026/08/07マーケット開始日
Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from agencies like the Turkish Meteorological Service and European models point to a high-pressure regime supporting afternoon maxima near 30–31°C in Istanbul on August 7, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly around 28–29°C. This reflects traders weighting localized cooling from persistent northeasterly Bosphorus sea breezes, urban heat-island moderation at official stations, and the possibility of afternoon marine-layer stratus or scattered cloud that can shave 1–3°C off peak readings. August climatology shows average highs of 28–30°C, providing a baseline where small shifts in wind timing or insolation determine whether the official maximum settles at 28°C or edges to 29°C. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution, leaving the narrow spread driven by these microscale variables rather than broader model divergence.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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