Forecast consensus from National Weather Service models and observations positions Chicago’s September 5 daily maximum near 80–81°F, driven by northeast winds of 10–15 mph moderating lake-influenced air and persistent cloud cover limiting daytime heating. This aligns with climatological norms for early September, when average highs hover near 80°F and lake-effect cooling often caps inland peaks. Traders have assigned 96.5% implied probability to the 80–81°F bin because multiple official guidance products converge on this narrow range with minimal spread. A rapid afternoon clearing or localized warming away from the lakefront could push readings into the low 80s, while heavier cloud persistence or stronger on-shore flow might hold the high at 78–79°F.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月5日のシカゴの最高気温は？
9月5日のシカゴの最高気温は？
82〜83°F 3%
84～85°F 1.0%
86〜87°F <1%
88〜89°F <1%
$43,423 Vol.
$43,423 Vol.
2026/09/05
73°F以下
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76〜77°F
<1%
78〜79°F
<1%
80〜81°F
-
82〜83°F
3%
84～85°F
1%
86〜87°F
1%
88〜89°F
<1%
90～91°F
<1%
92°F以上
<1%
82〜83°F 3%
84～85°F 1.0%
86〜87°F <1%
88〜89°F <1%
$43,423 Vol.
$43,423 Vol.
2026/09/05
73°F以下
$595 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$145 Vol.
<1%
76〜77°F
$2,894 Vol.
<1%
78〜79°F
$12,921 Vol.
<1%
80〜81°F
$7,221 Vol.
-
82〜83°F
$3,789 Vol.
3%
84～85°F
$7,010 Vol.
1%
86〜87°F
$2,360 Vol.
1%
88〜89°F
$3,705 Vol.
<1%
90～91°F
$2,140 Vol.
<1%
92°F以上
$645 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from National Weather Service models and observations positions Chicago’s September 5 daily maximum near 80–81°F, driven by northeast winds of 10–15 mph moderating lake-influenced air and persistent cloud cover limiting daytime heating. This aligns with climatological norms for early September, when average highs hover near 80°F and lake-effect cooling often caps inland peaks. Traders have assigned 96.5% implied probability to the 80–81°F bin because multiple official guidance products converge on this narrow range with minimal spread. A rapid afternoon clearing or localized warming away from the lakefront could push readings into the low 80s, while heavier cloud persistence or stronger on-shore flow might hold the high at 78–79°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 3, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
音量
$43,423終了日
2026/09/05マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from National Weather Service models and observations positions Chicago’s September 5 daily maximum near 80–81°F, driven by northeast winds of 10–15 mph moderating lake-influenced air and persistent cloud cover limiting daytime heating. This aligns with climatological norms for early September, when average highs hover near 80°F and lake-effect cooling often caps inland peaks. Traders have assigned 96.5% implied probability to the 80–81°F bin because multiple official guidance products converge on this narrow range with minimal spread. A rapid afternoon clearing or localized warming away from the lakefront could push readings into the low 80s, while heavier cloud persistence or stronger on-shore flow might hold the high at 78–79°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$43,423終了日
2026/09/05マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 3:56 AM ETForecast consensus from National Weather Service models and observations positions Chicago’s September 5 daily maximum near 80–81°F, driven by northeast winds of 10–15 mph moderating lake-influenced air and persistent cloud cover limiting daytime heating. This aligns with climatological norms for early September, when average highs hover near 80°F and lake-effect cooling often caps inland peaks. Traders have assigned 96.5% implied probability to the 80–81°F bin because multiple official guidance products converge on this narrow range with minimal spread. A rapid afternoon clearing or localized warming away from the lakefront could push readings into the low 80s, while heavier cloud persistence or stronger on-shore flow might hold the high at 78–79°F.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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