Ashley Moody holds the strongest position to win Miami-Dade County in Florida’s November 3 special U.S. Senate election, with market pricing reflecting her incumbency advantage after appointment to the seat vacated by Marco Rubio and her dominant Republican primary performance. Democratic nominee Angie Nixon, who upset better-funded rival Alex Vindman in the August primary, faces structural headwinds in a state that has trended Republican in recent cycles, though Miami-Dade’s demographic profile and historical Democratic strength keep her competitive for the county. Key factors include Moody’s substantial fundraising edge, endorsements, and voter shifts among Hispanic and suburban blocs that have boosted Republican margins locally; upcoming campaign events and any late polling on county-specific turnout could still shift probabilities before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
Ashley Moody (R)
71%
Angie Nixon (D)
30%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
Ashley Moody (R)
$213 Vol.
71%
Angie Nixon (D)
$310 Vol.
30%
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Miami-Dade County in the general special election for United States Senator from Florida, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Florida, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Miami-Dade County.Ashley Moody holds the strongest position to win Miami-Dade County in Florida’s November 3 special U.S. Senate election, with market pricing reflecting her incumbency advantage after appointment to the seat vacated by Marco Rubio and her dominant Republican primary performance. Democratic nominee Angie Nixon, who upset better-funded rival Alex Vindman in the August primary, faces structural headwinds in a state that has trended Republican in recent cycles, though Miami-Dade’s demographic profile and historical Democratic strength keep her competitive for the county. Key factors include Moody’s substantial fundraising edge, endorsements, and voter shifts among Hispanic and suburban blocs that have boosted Republican margins locally; upcoming campaign events and any late polling on county-specific turnout could still shift probabilities before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Miami-Dade County in the general special election for United States Senator from Florida, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Florida, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Miami-Dade County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Florida, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Miami-Dade County.
マーケット開始日： Sep 1, 2026, 12:41 PM ET
音量
$523終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 12:41 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Miami-Dade County in the general special election for United States Senator from Florida, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Florida, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Miami-Dade County.Ashley Moody holds the strongest position to win Miami-Dade County in Florida’s November 3 special U.S. Senate election, with market pricing reflecting her incumbency advantage after appointment to the seat vacated by Marco Rubio and her dominant Republican primary performance. Democratic nominee Angie Nixon, who upset better-funded rival Alex Vindman in the August primary, faces structural headwinds in a state that has trended Republican in recent cycles, though Miami-Dade’s demographic profile and historical Democratic strength keep her competitive for the county. Key factors include Moody’s substantial fundraising edge, endorsements, and voter shifts among Hispanic and suburban blocs that have boosted Republican margins locally; upcoming campaign events and any late polling on county-specific turnout could still shift probabilities before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Miami-Dade County in the general special election for United States Senator from Florida, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Florida, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Miami-Dade County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Florida, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Miami-Dade County.
音量
$523終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 12:41 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Ashley Moody holds the strongest position to win Miami-Dade County in Florida’s November 3 special U.S. Senate election, with market pricing reflecting her incumbency advantage after appointment to the seat vacated by Marco Rubio and her dominant Republican primary performance. Democratic nominee Angie Nixon, who upset better-funded rival Alex Vindman in the August primary, faces structural headwinds in a state that has trended Republican in recent cycles, though Miami-Dade’s demographic profile and historical Democratic strength keep her competitive for the county. Key factors include Moody’s substantial fundraising edge, endorsements, and voter shifts among Hispanic and suburban blocs that have boosted Republican margins locally; upcoming campaign events and any late polling on county-specific turnout could still shift probabilities before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問