California voters face Proposition 43 on the November 3, 2026 ballot, a legislative constitutional amendment that would require a two-thirds supermajority for citizen-initiated local special taxes beginning in 2027, aligning them with the existing threshold for government-proposed measures. The closely contested odds reflect competing pressures from public employee unions, local government associations, and special districts opposing the change due to risks of reduced revenue for schools, infrastructure, and services, against taxpayer advocacy groups favoring stronger voter safeguards. Recent local tax measures have frequently passed under simple-majority rules, bolstering arguments for the status quo, while the measure stems from a June 2026 compromise that removed a broader initiative. Upcoming polling trends, campaign spending by affected interests, and voter sentiment on local revenue needs could shift the balance before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
45% 確率
新規
新規
2026/11/03
はい
45% 確率
新規
新規
2026/11/03
Proposition 43 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would raise the threshold for citizen-driven special tax ballot initiatives to pass from a simple majority to two-thirds, making it harder to impose or increase taxes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).California voters face Proposition 43 on the November 3, 2026 ballot, a legislative constitutional amendment that would require a two-thirds supermajority for citizen-initiated local special taxes beginning in 2027, aligning them with the existing threshold for government-proposed measures. The closely contested odds reflect competing pressures from public employee unions, local government associations, and special districts opposing the change due to risks of reduced revenue for schools, infrastructure, and services, against taxpayer advocacy groups favoring stronger voter safeguards. Recent local tax measures have frequently passed under simple-majority rules, bolstering arguments for the status quo, while the measure stems from a June 2026 compromise that removed a broader initiative. Upcoming polling trends, campaign spending by affected interests, and voter sentiment on local revenue needs could shift the balance before election day.
Proposition 43 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would raise the threshold for citizen-driven special tax ballot initiatives to pass from a simple majority to two-thirds, making it harder to impose or increase taxes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jul 1, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
音量
$3,120終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 6:27 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Proposition 43 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would raise the threshold for citizen-driven special tax ballot initiatives to pass from a simple majority to two-thirds, making it harder to impose or increase taxes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).California voters face Proposition 43 on the November 3, 2026 ballot, a legislative constitutional amendment that would require a two-thirds supermajority for citizen-initiated local special taxes beginning in 2027, aligning them with the existing threshold for government-proposed measures. The closely contested odds reflect competing pressures from public employee unions, local government associations, and special districts opposing the change due to risks of reduced revenue for schools, infrastructure, and services, against taxpayer advocacy groups favoring stronger voter safeguards. Recent local tax measures have frequently passed under simple-majority rules, bolstering arguments for the status quo, while the measure stems from a June 2026 compromise that removed a broader initiative. Upcoming polling trends, campaign spending by affected interests, and voter sentiment on local revenue needs could shift the balance before election day.
Proposition 43 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would raise the threshold for citizen-driven special tax ballot initiatives to pass from a simple majority to two-thirds, making it harder to impose or increase taxes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
音量
$3,120終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 6:27 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...California voters face Proposition 43 on the November 3, 2026 ballot, a legislative constitutional amendment that would require a two-thirds supermajority for citizen-initiated local special taxes beginning in 2027, aligning them with the existing threshold for government-proposed measures. The closely contested odds reflect competing pressures from public employee unions, local government associations, and special districts opposing the change due to risks of reduced revenue for schools, infrastructure, and services, against taxpayer advocacy groups favoring stronger voter safeguards. Recent local tax measures have frequently passed under simple-majority rules, bolstering arguments for the status quo, while the measure stems from a June 2026 compromise that removed a broader initiative. Upcoming polling trends, campaign spending by affected interests, and voter sentiment on local revenue needs could shift the balance before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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