The Legislature’s June 2026 passage and Governor Newsom’s signing of SB 417 placed the $11.25 billion Veterans and Affordable Housing Bond Act on the November 3 ballot as Proposition 1, replenishing programs such as the Multifamily Housing Program, CalHome, and farmworker and veteran assistance. Traders assign a modest “Yes” edge at 58.5% amid broad Democratic support for addressing California’s affordability crisis, where most renters are cost-burdened and home prices remain elevated, yet offset by general-obligation debt service costs estimated near $580 million annually once fully issued. A companion revenue-bond measure for middle-income buyers adds context without direct taxpayer exposure. Recent polling absence and typical California bond passage rates near historical averages keep probabilities close to even pending fall campaign developments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
43% 確率
新規
新規
2026/11/03
はい
43% 確率
新規
新規
2026/11/03
Proposition 1 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would allow the state to borrow a record $11.25 billion for affordable housing, with $10 billion to buy, build, rehabilitate and preserve affordable homes and $1.25 billion to help veterans buy homes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).The Legislature’s June 2026 passage and Governor Newsom’s signing of SB 417 placed the $11.25 billion Veterans and Affordable Housing Bond Act on the November 3 ballot as Proposition 1, replenishing programs such as the Multifamily Housing Program, CalHome, and farmworker and veteran assistance. Traders assign a modest “Yes” edge at 58.5% amid broad Democratic support for addressing California’s affordability crisis, where most renters are cost-burdened and home prices remain elevated, yet offset by general-obligation debt service costs estimated near $580 million annually once fully issued. A companion revenue-bond measure for middle-income buyers adds context without direct taxpayer exposure. Recent polling absence and typical California bond passage rates near historical averages keep probabilities close to even pending fall campaign developments.
Proposition 1 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would allow the state to borrow a record $11.25 billion for affordable housing, with $10 billion to buy, build, rehabilitate and preserve affordable homes and $1.25 billion to help veterans buy homes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jul 1, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
音量
$2,182終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 6:28 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Proposition 1 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would allow the state to borrow a record $11.25 billion for affordable housing, with $10 billion to buy, build, rehabilitate and preserve affordable homes and $1.25 billion to help veterans buy homes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).The Legislature’s June 2026 passage and Governor Newsom’s signing of SB 417 placed the $11.25 billion Veterans and Affordable Housing Bond Act on the November 3 ballot as Proposition 1, replenishing programs such as the Multifamily Housing Program, CalHome, and farmworker and veteran assistance. Traders assign a modest “Yes” edge at 58.5% amid broad Democratic support for addressing California’s affordability crisis, where most renters are cost-burdened and home prices remain elevated, yet offset by general-obligation debt service costs estimated near $580 million annually once fully issued. A companion revenue-bond measure for middle-income buyers adds context without direct taxpayer exposure. Recent polling absence and typical California bond passage rates near historical averages keep probabilities close to even pending fall campaign developments.
Proposition 1 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would allow the state to borrow a record $11.25 billion for affordable housing, with $10 billion to buy, build, rehabilitate and preserve affordable homes and $1.25 billion to help veterans buy homes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
音量
$2,182終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 6:28 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...The Legislature’s June 2026 passage and Governor Newsom’s signing of SB 417 placed the $11.25 billion Veterans and Affordable Housing Bond Act on the November 3 ballot as Proposition 1, replenishing programs such as the Multifamily Housing Program, CalHome, and farmworker and veteran assistance. Traders assign a modest “Yes” edge at 58.5% amid broad Democratic support for addressing California’s affordability crisis, where most renters are cost-burdened and home prices remain elevated, yet offset by general-obligation debt service costs estimated near $580 million annually once fully issued. A companion revenue-bond measure for middle-income buyers adds context without direct taxpayer exposure. Recent polling absence and typical California bond passage rates near historical averages keep probabilities close to even pending fall campaign developments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問