Recent Zillow Home Value Index readings for the Los Angeles metro show typical home values near $965,000 as of July 2026, with modest 0.9% year-over-year gains amid flat-to-slightly higher median sale prices around $922,000–$971,000 depending on the source and segment. Persistent supply constraints, with active listings down modestly year-over-year and months of supply near 3.5–4, continue to support prices despite elevated 30-year mortgage rates near 6.5% that limit affordability and buyer demand. The market remains balanced overall, with homes selling near or slightly above list price but showing some price cuts and slower turnover. With resolution only weeks away, the tight clustering of probabilities between $1.137 million and $1.169 million reflects trader uncertainty over whether short-term seasonal or data-driven shifts will push the median into the next bin or hold it lower, consistent with the limited price momentum observed in recent months.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato1.137M$ - 1.153M$ 33%
$1.153M - $1.169M 25.7%
<$1,137M 20.3%
$1.169M - $1.185M 17.5%
$63,187 Vol.
$63,187 Vol.
<$1,137M
20%
1.137M$ - 1.153M$
33%
$1.153M - $1.169M
26%
$1.169M - $1.185M
18%
$1,185M - $1,201M
7%
$1.201M - $1.216M
<1%
$1,216M+
<1%
1.137M$ - 1.153M$ 33%
$1.153M - $1.169M 25.7%
<$1,137M 20.3%
$1.169M - $1.185M 17.5%
$63,187 Vol.
$63,187 Vol.
<$1,137M
20%
1.137M$ - 1.153M$
33%
$1.153M - $1.169M
26%
$1.169M - $1.185M
18%
$1,185M - $1,201M
7%
$1.201M - $1.216M
<1%
$1,216M+
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/48)
Mercato aperto: Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/48)
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent Zillow Home Value Index readings for the Los Angeles metro show typical home values near $965,000 as of July 2026, with modest 0.9% year-over-year gains amid flat-to-slightly higher median sale prices around $922,000–$971,000 depending on the source and segment. Persistent supply constraints, with active listings down modestly year-over-year and months of supply near 3.5–4, continue to support prices despite elevated 30-year mortgage rates near 6.5% that limit affordability and buyer demand. The market remains balanced overall, with homes selling near or slightly above list price but showing some price cuts and slower turnover. With resolution only weeks away, the tight clustering of probabilities between $1.137 million and $1.169 million reflects trader uncertainty over whether short-term seasonal or data-driven shifts will push the median into the next bin or hold it lower, consistent with the limited price momentum observed in recent months.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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