**Elevated mortgage rates near 6.5–6.7% continue to constrain buyer purchasing power and limit transaction volume, while rising active listings—up over 5% year-over-year in recent Bright MLS reports—have eased supply constraints and supported modest softening in estimated home values.** Zillow’s metro ZHVI hovered near $584K through mid-2026 with minimal YoY gains, and median listing prices dipped to $565K by August, reflecting slower appreciation amid higher months of supply (around 2.7) and localized weakness in condo-heavy DC segments. These dynamics, combined with stable but elevated Treasury yields and steady labor-market conditions in the federal-heavy region, have concentrated trader positioning in the $518K–$530K bands as the most probable outcome for the September 30 reading. Limited near-term catalysts before resolution reinforce the current implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato524.000$ - 530.000$ 41.0%
$518K - $524K 30.2%
$530K - $536K 11.2%
$536.000 - $542.000 9.6%
$64,180 Vol.
$64,180 Vol.
<512.000$
1%
$512.000 - $518.000
9%
$518K - $524K
30%
524.000$ - 530.000$
41%
$530K - $536K
11%
$536.000 - $542.000
10%
542.000 $+
3%
524.000$ - 530.000$ 41.0%
$518K - $524K 30.2%
$530K - $536K 11.2%
$536.000 - $542.000 9.6%
$64,180 Vol.
$64,180 Vol.
<512.000$
1%
$512.000 - $518.000
9%
$518K - $524K
30%
524.000$ - 530.000$
41%
$530K - $536K
11%
$536.000 - $542.000
10%
542.000 $+
3%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
Mercato aperto: Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Elevated mortgage rates near 6.5–6.7% continue to constrain buyer purchasing power and limit transaction volume, while rising active listings—up over 5% year-over-year in recent Bright MLS reports—have eased supply constraints and supported modest softening in estimated home values.** Zillow’s metro ZHVI hovered near $584K through mid-2026 with minimal YoY gains, and median listing prices dipped to $565K by August, reflecting slower appreciation amid higher months of supply (around 2.7) and localized weakness in condo-heavy DC segments. These dynamics, combined with stable but elevated Treasury yields and steady labor-market conditions in the federal-heavy region, have concentrated trader positioning in the $518K–$530K bands as the most probable outcome for the September 30 reading. Limited near-term catalysts before resolution reinforce the current implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
Il valore mediano delle case negli Stati Uniti sarà inferiore a 419.000 dollari il 30 settembre?
Il valore mediano delle case nell'area metropolitana di Chicago sarà compreso tra $340.000 e $345.000 il 30 settembre?
Il valore mediano delle case nella zona metropolitana di San Francisco sarà inferiore a $1.176.000 il 30 settembre?
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