Latest forecasts from multiple models place Wuhan's September 1 minimum temperature near 23–24 °C, with the market's tight clustering around 22–24 °C (each near 27–28 % implied probability) reflecting ensemble spread rather than strong directional bias. Persistent cloud cover and northeasterly flow tied to typhoon peripheral influences are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, while daytime highs moderate from recent heat. Minor differences among ECMWF, GFS, and regional runs stem from uncertain boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds overnight. Updated guidance ahead of the 48-hour window will likely tighten the distribution before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Wuhan il 1° settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Wuhan il 1° settembre?
22°C 27%
23°C 27%
24°C 27%
20°C 25%
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 set 2026
18°C or below
6%
19°C
8%
20°C
25%
21°C
25%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
27%
25°C
25%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
22°C 27%
23°C 27%
24°C 27%
20°C 25%
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 set 2026
18°C or below
$255 Vol.
6%
19°C
$0 Vol.
8%
20°C
$0 Vol.
25%
21°C
$0 Vol.
25%
22°C
$0 Vol.
27%
23°C
$0 Vol.
27%
24°C
$0 Vol.
27%
25°C
$0 Vol.
25%
26°C
$0 Vol.
2%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from multiple models place Wuhan's September 1 minimum temperature near 23–24 °C, with the market's tight clustering around 22–24 °C (each near 27–28 % implied probability) reflecting ensemble spread rather than strong directional bias. Persistent cloud cover and northeasterly flow tied to typhoon peripheral influences are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, while daytime highs moderate from recent heat. Minor differences among ECMWF, GFS, and regional runs stem from uncertain boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds overnight. Updated guidance ahead of the 48-hour window will likely tighten the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$255Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from multiple models place Wuhan's September 1 minimum temperature near 23–24 °C, with the market's tight clustering around 22–24 °C (each near 27–28 % implied probability) reflecting ensemble spread rather than strong directional bias. Persistent cloud cover and northeasterly flow tied to typhoon peripheral influences are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, while daytime highs moderate from recent heat. Minor differences among ECMWF, GFS, and regional runs stem from uncertain boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds overnight. Updated guidance ahead of the 48-hour window will likely tighten the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$255Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from multiple models place Wuhan's September 1 minimum temperature near 23–24 °C, with the market's tight clustering around 22–24 °C (each near 27–28 % implied probability) reflecting ensemble spread rather than strong directional bias. Persistent cloud cover and northeasterly flow tied to typhoon peripheral influences are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, while daytime highs moderate from recent heat. Minor differences among ECMWF, GFS, and regional runs stem from uncertain boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds overnight. Updated guidance ahead of the 48-hour window will likely tighten the distribution before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti