**Persistent tropical conditions and model consensus for elevated overnight lows are anchoring trader sentiment toward warmer minimum temperatures for Panama City, Panama, on September 20.** Climatological baselines place September nighttime lows near 24–25°C amid the rainy season’s high humidity and light winds, but recent forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office indicate minima around 26–27°C, with scattered thunderstorms and cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. These factors reduce the likelihood of significant drops below 25°C, supporting the market’s heavy weighting on outcomes at or above 26°C while assigning negligible probability to 21°C or lower. Light steering winds and ongoing moisture from the Intertropical Convergence Zone further stabilize temperatures near or above seasonal norms. Short-term model runs and any revisions to thunderstorm timing remain the key near-term catalysts ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Panama City il 20 settembre?
30°C o superiore 98%
27°C 40%
22°C 39%
23°C 39%
20°C o inferiore
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
38%
26°C
28%
27°C
40%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C o superiore
98%
30°C o superiore 98%
27°C 40%
22°C 39%
23°C 39%
20°C o inferiore
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
38%
26°C
28%
27°C
40%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C o superiore
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 18, 2026, 8:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent tropical conditions and model consensus for elevated overnight lows are anchoring trader sentiment toward warmer minimum temperatures for Panama City, Panama, on September 20.** Climatological baselines place September nighttime lows near 24–25°C amid the rainy season’s high humidity and light winds, but recent forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office indicate minima around 26–27°C, with scattered thunderstorms and cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. These factors reduce the likelihood of significant drops below 25°C, supporting the market’s heavy weighting on outcomes at or above 26°C while assigning negligible probability to 21°C or lower. Light steering winds and ongoing moisture from the Intertropical Convergence Zone further stabilize temperatures near or above seasonal norms. Short-term model runs and any revisions to thunderstorm timing remain the key near-term catalysts ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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