Current forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF indicate a most likely overnight low near 12–13°C for Mexico City on September 20, consistent with September climatology at its 2,240 m elevation, where average lows reach about 12°C amid the rainy season. The near-even market-implied odds for extremes (7°C or below versus 17°C or higher) reflect substantial uncertainty from variable cloud cover, scattered showers, and wind patterns that can either enhance radiative cooling under clear skies or retain heat via moisture and insulation. High-altitude diurnal swings amplify sensitivity to these factors, with official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and updated model runs expected to clarify resolution thresholds in the coming hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Città del Messico il 20 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Città del Messico il 20 settembre?
7°C o inferiore 93%
17°C o superiore 89%
13°C 40%
14°C 40%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 set 2026
7°C o inferiore
93%
8°C
13%
9°C
13%
10°C
13%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
27%
16°C
11%
17°C o superiore
89%
7°C o inferiore 93%
17°C o superiore 89%
13°C 40%
14°C 40%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 set 2026
7°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
93%
8°C
$0 Vol.
13%
9°C
$0 Vol.
13%
10°C
$0 Vol.
13%
11°C
$0 Vol.
39%
12°C
$0 Vol.
39%
13°C
$0 Vol.
40%
14°C
$0 Vol.
40%
15°C
$10 Vol.
27%
16°C
$15 Vol.
11%
17°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
89%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF indicate a most likely overnight low near 12–13°C for Mexico City on September 20, consistent with September climatology at its 2,240 m elevation, where average lows reach about 12°C amid the rainy season. The near-even market-implied odds for extremes (7°C or below versus 17°C or higher) reflect substantial uncertainty from variable cloud cover, scattered showers, and wind patterns that can either enhance radiative cooling under clear skies or retain heat via moisture and insulation. High-altitude diurnal swings amplify sensitivity to these factors, with official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and updated model runs expected to clarify resolution thresholds in the coming hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 18, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$26Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 18, 2026, 8:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF indicate a most likely overnight low near 12–13°C for Mexico City on September 20, consistent with September climatology at its 2,240 m elevation, where average lows reach about 12°C amid the rainy season. The near-even market-implied odds for extremes (7°C or below versus 17°C or higher) reflect substantial uncertainty from variable cloud cover, scattered showers, and wind patterns that can either enhance radiative cooling under clear skies or retain heat via moisture and insulation. High-altitude diurnal swings amplify sensitivity to these factors, with official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and updated model runs expected to clarify resolution thresholds in the coming hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$26Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 18, 2026, 8:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF indicate a most likely overnight low near 12–13°C for Mexico City on September 20, consistent with September climatology at its 2,240 m elevation, where average lows reach about 12°C amid the rainy season. The near-even market-implied odds for extremes (7°C or below versus 17°C or higher) reflect substantial uncertainty from variable cloud cover, scattered showers, and wind patterns that can either enhance radiative cooling under clear skies or retain heat via moisture and insulation. High-altitude diurnal swings amplify sensitivity to these factors, with official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and updated model runs expected to clarify resolution thresholds in the coming hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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