Recent forecast consensus from multiple models positions Ankara's September 18 high near 21–22°C, aligning with market-implied odds favoring those outcomes. Northerly winds and lingering moisture from widespread thunderstorms on the 17th are expected to limit daytime warming, with partly cloudy skies and a chance of light showers keeping temperatures below the seasonal September average of roughly 24–26°C. Official guidance highlights afternoon peaks around 21–22°C under moderate humidity and light northerly flow, with minimal model spread suggesting low likelihood of reaching 24°C or higher. Updated runs overnight have shown little change, reinforcing trader focus on the narrow 21–23°C range ahead of final observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta ad Ankara il 18 settembre?
22°C 42%
23°C 30%
21°C 23%
24°C 10%
$12,800 Vol.
$12,800 Vol.
17°C o inferiore
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
23%
22°C
42%
23°C
30%
24°C
10%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C o superiore
<1%
22°C 42%
23°C 30%
21°C 23%
24°C 10%
$12,800 Vol.
$12,800 Vol.
17°C o inferiore
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
23%
22°C
42%
23°C
30%
24°C
10%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from multiple models positions Ankara's September 18 high near 21–22°C, aligning with market-implied odds favoring those outcomes. Northerly winds and lingering moisture from widespread thunderstorms on the 17th are expected to limit daytime warming, with partly cloudy skies and a chance of light showers keeping temperatures below the seasonal September average of roughly 24–26°C. Official guidance highlights afternoon peaks around 21–22°C under moderate humidity and light northerly flow, with minimal model spread suggesting low likelihood of reaching 24°C or higher. Updated runs overnight have shown little change, reinforcing trader focus on the narrow 21–23°C range ahead of final observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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