Recent forecast models indicate Mexico City’s overnight low on August 30 will likely settle between 10–12 °C, driven by the city’s 2,240 m elevation and August rainy-season cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Official guidance from sources such as the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global ensembles shows minimum temperatures hovering near 10–11 °C in higher-elevation districts like Cuajimalpa, while central stations may record 12 °C under partly cloudy skies with light winds. Trader consensus reflects this narrow spread, with slight preference for 12 °C amid model divergence on exact cloud timing and dew-point depression; historical August minima average near 11 °C, underscoring the limited upside for sub-10 °C outcomes under current atmospheric conditions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Città del Messico il 30 agosto?
10°C 43%
11°C 43%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$820 Vol.
$820 Vol.
6°C o inferiore
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
43%
11°C
43%
12°C
52%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C o superiore
<1%
10°C 43%
11°C 43%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$820 Vol.
$820 Vol.
6°C o inferiore
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
43%
11°C
43%
12°C
52%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models indicate Mexico City’s overnight low on August 30 will likely settle between 10–12 °C, driven by the city’s 2,240 m elevation and August rainy-season cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Official guidance from sources such as the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global ensembles shows minimum temperatures hovering near 10–11 °C in higher-elevation districts like Cuajimalpa, while central stations may record 12 °C under partly cloudy skies with light winds. Trader consensus reflects this narrow spread, with slight preference for 12 °C amid model divergence on exact cloud timing and dew-point depression; historical August minima average near 11 °C, underscoring the limited upside for sub-10 °C outcomes under current atmospheric conditions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti