Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with India Meteorological Department guidance, point to a minimum temperature near 26°C in Lucknow on September 19 amid the retreating southwest monsoon. Lingering moisture, high humidity near 70-80%, and variable cloud cover are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows elevated compared to clearer post-monsoon conditions. This aligns with the market's leading 47.5% implied probability on 26°C, while lower-probability outcomes like 20°C or below reflect historical September variability but lack support from current steering patterns or ensemble runs. Traders appear focused on the narrow window for any late intensification of showers or wind shifts that could nudge the minimum by a degree or two before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Lucknow il 19 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Lucknow il 19 settembre?
20°C o inferiore 73%
30°C o superiore 56%
26°C 48%
27°C 37%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 set 2026
20°C o inferiore
73%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
35%
24°C
33%
25°C
22%
26°C
48%
27°C
37%
28°C
37%
29°C
18%
30°C o superiore
56%
20°C o inferiore 73%
30°C o superiore 56%
26°C 48%
27°C 37%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 set 2026
20°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
73%
21°C
$0 Vol.
1%
22°C
$0 Vol.
2%
23°C
$0 Vol.
35%
24°C
$0 Vol.
33%
25°C
$0 Vol.
22%
26°C
$21 Vol.
48%
27°C
$0 Vol.
37%
28°C
$0 Vol.
37%
29°C
$0 Vol.
18%
30°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
56%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with India Meteorological Department guidance, point to a minimum temperature near 26°C in Lucknow on September 19 amid the retreating southwest monsoon. Lingering moisture, high humidity near 70-80%, and variable cloud cover are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows elevated compared to clearer post-monsoon conditions. This aligns with the market's leading 47.5% implied probability on 26°C, while lower-probability outcomes like 20°C or below reflect historical September variability but lack support from current steering patterns or ensemble runs. Traders appear focused on the narrow window for any late intensification of showers or wind shifts that could nudge the minimum by a degree or two before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$21Data di fine
19 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with India Meteorological Department guidance, point to a minimum temperature near 26°C in Lucknow on September 19 amid the retreating southwest monsoon. Lingering moisture, high humidity near 70-80%, and variable cloud cover are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows elevated compared to clearer post-monsoon conditions. This aligns with the market's leading 47.5% implied probability on 26°C, while lower-probability outcomes like 20°C or below reflect historical September variability but lack support from current steering patterns or ensemble runs. Traders appear focused on the narrow window for any late intensification of showers or wind shifts that could nudge the minimum by a degree or two before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21Data di fine
19 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with India Meteorological Department guidance, point to a minimum temperature near 26°C in Lucknow on September 19 amid the retreating southwest monsoon. Lingering moisture, high humidity near 70-80%, and variable cloud cover are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows elevated compared to clearer post-monsoon conditions. This aligns with the market's leading 47.5% implied probability on 26°C, while lower-probability outcomes like 20°C or below reflect historical September variability but lack support from current steering patterns or ensemble runs. Traders appear focused on the narrow window for any late intensification of showers or wind shifts that could nudge the minimum by a degree or two before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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