Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 31–33°C for Lucknow’s maximum temperature on September 19 because recent India Meteorological Department guidance and ensemble models point to partly cloudy skies with a chance of afternoon thundershowers that would cap solar heating. High humidity persisting from the retreating southwest monsoon, combined with light winds, favors scattered cloud cover that reduces peak insolation compared with clearer recent days when readings reached 34–35°C. Convective development timing and exact cloud thickness remain the key variables that could shift the official station reading (Lucknow airport) by 1–2°C. Updated IMD nowcasts and afternoon model runs will provide the final signals before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Lucknow il 19 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Lucknow il 19 settembre?
32°C 36%
31°C 29%
33°C 20%
30°C 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 set 2026
26°C o inferiore
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
14%
31°C
29%
32°C
36%
33°C
20%
34°C
6%
35°C
3%
36°C o superiore
1%
32°C 36%
31°C 29%
33°C 20%
30°C 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 set 2026
26°C o inferiore
$261 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$71 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$41 Vol.
2%
30°C
$780 Vol.
14%
31°C
$457 Vol.
29%
32°C
$422 Vol.
36%
33°C
$670 Vol.
20%
34°C
$210 Vol.
6%
35°C
$192 Vol.
3%
36°C o superiore
$154 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 31–33°C for Lucknow’s maximum temperature on September 19 because recent India Meteorological Department guidance and ensemble models point to partly cloudy skies with a chance of afternoon thundershowers that would cap solar heating. High humidity persisting from the retreating southwest monsoon, combined with light winds, favors scattered cloud cover that reduces peak insolation compared with clearer recent days when readings reached 34–35°C. Convective development timing and exact cloud thickness remain the key variables that could shift the official station reading (Lucknow airport) by 1–2°C. Updated IMD nowcasts and afternoon model runs will provide the final signals before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,289Data di fine
19 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 31–33°C for Lucknow’s maximum temperature on September 19 because recent India Meteorological Department guidance and ensemble models point to partly cloudy skies with a chance of afternoon thundershowers that would cap solar heating. High humidity persisting from the retreating southwest monsoon, combined with light winds, favors scattered cloud cover that reduces peak insolation compared with clearer recent days when readings reached 34–35°C. Convective development timing and exact cloud thickness remain the key variables that could shift the official station reading (Lucknow airport) by 1–2°C. Updated IMD nowcasts and afternoon model runs will provide the final signals before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,289Data di fine
19 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 31–33°C for Lucknow’s maximum temperature on September 19 because recent India Meteorological Department guidance and ensemble models point to partly cloudy skies with a chance of afternoon thundershowers that would cap solar heating. High humidity persisting from the retreating southwest monsoon, combined with light winds, favors scattered cloud cover that reduces peak insolation compared with clearer recent days when readings reached 34–35°C. Convective development timing and exact cloud thickness remain the key variables that could shift the official station reading (Lucknow airport) by 1–2°C. Updated IMD nowcasts and afternoon model runs will provide the final signals before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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