Recent Met Office forecasts for London on August 30, 2026, project a minimum overnight low of 15°C amid breezy southwesterly winds, scattered showers, and mostly cloudy skies, establishing the primary driver for market sentiment. Model consensus from sources like the GFS and local observations aligns closely with this mild range, reflecting typical late-August conditions above seasonal norms yet without significant cooling from high pressure or clear skies. Traders assign 72.5% implied probability to 17°C and 24% to 16°C because minor forecast revisions, exact observation timing at official stations, and potential localized variations could shift the recorded low by 1–2°C. Upcoming hourly updates and final verification data will likely refine these odds as the day concludes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Londra il 30 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Londra il 30 agosto?
17°C 90%
16°C 40%
15°C 2.3%
14°C 1.5%
$13,813 Vol.
$13,813 Vol.
30 ago 2026
11°C o inferiore
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
24%
17°C
73%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C o superiore
<1%
17°C 90%
16°C 40%
15°C 2.3%
14°C 1.5%
$13,813 Vol.
$13,813 Vol.
30 ago 2026
11°C o inferiore
$37 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$227 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$34 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,223 Vol.
2%
15°C
$917 Vol.
2%
16°C
$3,068 Vol.
24%
17°C
$2,377 Vol.
73%
18°C
$2,782 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,043 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,044 Vol.
<1%
21°C o superiore
$1,061 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts for London on August 30, 2026, project a minimum overnight low of 15°C amid breezy southwesterly winds, scattered showers, and mostly cloudy skies, establishing the primary driver for market sentiment. Model consensus from sources like the GFS and local observations aligns closely with this mild range, reflecting typical late-August conditions above seasonal norms yet without significant cooling from high pressure or clear skies. Traders assign 72.5% implied probability to 17°C and 24% to 16°C because minor forecast revisions, exact observation timing at official stations, and potential localized variations could shift the recorded low by 1–2°C. Upcoming hourly updates and final verification data will likely refine these odds as the day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$13,813Data di fine
30 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts for London on August 30, 2026, project a minimum overnight low of 15°C amid breezy southwesterly winds, scattered showers, and mostly cloudy skies, establishing the primary driver for market sentiment. Model consensus from sources like the GFS and local observations aligns closely with this mild range, reflecting typical late-August conditions above seasonal norms yet without significant cooling from high pressure or clear skies. Traders assign 72.5% implied probability to 17°C and 24% to 16°C because minor forecast revisions, exact observation timing at official stations, and potential localized variations could shift the recorded low by 1–2°C. Upcoming hourly updates and final verification data will likely refine these odds as the day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,813Data di fine
30 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office forecasts for London on August 30, 2026, project a minimum overnight low of 15°C amid breezy southwesterly winds, scattered showers, and mostly cloudy skies, establishing the primary driver for market sentiment. Model consensus from sources like the GFS and local observations aligns closely with this mild range, reflecting typical late-August conditions above seasonal norms yet without significant cooling from high pressure or clear skies. Traders assign 72.5% implied probability to 17°C and 24% to 16°C because minor forecast revisions, exact observation timing at official stations, and potential localized variations could shift the recorded low by 1–2°C. Upcoming hourly updates and final verification data will likely refine these odds as the day concludes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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