Recent short-range ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS highlight variable cloud cover and light southwesterly winds over Helsinki as the main drivers of uncertainty in the September 1 overnight minimum. Clearing skies could enhance radiational cooling and push readings toward 10–11 °C, while increased moisture or stronger flow would limit the drop to 12–13 °C. Historical climatology shows early-September lows averaging near 11–12 °C, yet current model spreads of several degrees reflect typical 48-hour forecast noise around frontal timing and boundary-layer mixing. Traders therefore assign nearly equal implied probabilities across the central outcomes, with resolution hinging on the official FMI observation for the calendar-day minimum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Helsinki il 1° settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di Helsinki il 1° settembre?
18°C or higher 38%
13°C 27%
10°C 26%
12°C 26%
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 set 2026
8°C or below
1%
9°C
24%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C
27%
14°C
26%
15°C
19%
16°C
2%
17°C
8%
18°C or higher
38%
18°C or higher 38%
13°C 27%
10°C 26%
12°C 26%
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 set 2026
8°C or below
$144 Vol.
1%
9°C
$0 Vol.
24%
10°C
$0 Vol.
26%
11°C
$0 Vol.
26%
12°C
$0 Vol.
26%
13°C
$0 Vol.
27%
14°C
$0 Vol.
26%
15°C
$0 Vol.
19%
16°C
$20 Vol.
2%
17°C
$10 Vol.
8%
18°C or higher
$140 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS highlight variable cloud cover and light southwesterly winds over Helsinki as the main drivers of uncertainty in the September 1 overnight minimum. Clearing skies could enhance radiational cooling and push readings toward 10–11 °C, while increased moisture or stronger flow would limit the drop to 12–13 °C. Historical climatology shows early-September lows averaging near 11–12 °C, yet current model spreads of several degrees reflect typical 48-hour forecast noise around frontal timing and boundary-layer mixing. Traders therefore assign nearly equal implied probabilities across the central outcomes, with resolution hinging on the official FMI observation for the calendar-day minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$314Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS highlight variable cloud cover and light southwesterly winds over Helsinki as the main drivers of uncertainty in the September 1 overnight minimum. Clearing skies could enhance radiational cooling and push readings toward 10–11 °C, while increased moisture or stronger flow would limit the drop to 12–13 °C. Historical climatology shows early-September lows averaging near 11–12 °C, yet current model spreads of several degrees reflect typical 48-hour forecast noise around frontal timing and boundary-layer mixing. Traders therefore assign nearly equal implied probabilities across the central outcomes, with resolution hinging on the official FMI observation for the calendar-day minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$314Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS highlight variable cloud cover and light southwesterly winds over Helsinki as the main drivers of uncertainty in the September 1 overnight minimum. Clearing skies could enhance radiational cooling and push readings toward 10–11 °C, while increased moisture or stronger flow would limit the drop to 12–13 °C. Historical climatology shows early-September lows averaging near 11–12 °C, yet current model spreads of several degrees reflect typical 48-hour forecast noise around frontal timing and boundary-layer mixing. Traders therefore assign nearly equal implied probabilities across the central outcomes, with resolution hinging on the official FMI observation for the calendar-day minimum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti