Current forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles like GFS and ECMWF indicate an overnight low near 25°C for Chengdu on August 24, driven by typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions with light westerly winds, high humidity around 70-90%, and partly cloudy skies limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's leading 25°C outcome at 44.5% implied probability, while 27°C reflects slightly warmer scenarios from reduced cloud cover. Recent observations show stable warm air masses without incoming fronts, consistent with August climatology where average lows hover near 23-25°C. Traders appear to weigh these consensus runs heavily, with updates expected from the next model cycles ahead of the overnight period.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Chengdu il 24 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Chengdu il 24 agosto?
20°C o inferiore 54%
30°C o superiore 54%
27°C 34%
22°C 32%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
20°C o inferiore
54%
21°C
20%
22°C
32%
23°C
26%
24°C
29%
25°C
44%
26°C
24%
27°C
34%
28°C
3%
29°C
8%
30°C o superiore
54%
20°C o inferiore 54%
30°C o superiore 54%
27°C 34%
22°C 32%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
20°C o inferiore
$21 Vol.
54%
21°C
$50 Vol.
20%
22°C
$26 Vol.
32%
23°C
$6 Vol.
26%
24°C
$6 Vol.
29%
25°C
$943 Vol.
44%
26°C
$6 Vol.
24%
27°C
$6 Vol.
34%
28°C
$5 Vol.
3%
29°C
$5 Vol.
8%
30°C o superiore
$145 Vol.
54%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles like GFS and ECMWF indicate an overnight low near 25°C for Chengdu on August 24, driven by typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions with light westerly winds, high humidity around 70-90%, and partly cloudy skies limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's leading 25°C outcome at 44.5% implied probability, while 27°C reflects slightly warmer scenarios from reduced cloud cover. Recent observations show stable warm air masses without incoming fronts, consistent with August climatology where average lows hover near 23-25°C. Traders appear to weigh these consensus runs heavily, with updates expected from the next model cycles ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$1,219Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles like GFS and ECMWF indicate an overnight low near 25°C for Chengdu on August 24, driven by typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions with light westerly winds, high humidity around 70-90%, and partly cloudy skies limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's leading 25°C outcome at 44.5% implied probability, while 27°C reflects slightly warmer scenarios from reduced cloud cover. Recent observations show stable warm air masses without incoming fronts, consistent with August climatology where average lows hover near 23-25°C. Traders appear to weigh these consensus runs heavily, with updates expected from the next model cycles ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,219Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles like GFS and ECMWF indicate an overnight low near 25°C for Chengdu on August 24, driven by typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions with light westerly winds, high humidity around 70-90%, and partly cloudy skies limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's leading 25°C outcome at 44.5% implied probability, while 27°C reflects slightly warmer scenarios from reduced cloud cover. Recent observations show stable warm air masses without incoming fronts, consistent with August climatology where average lows hover near 23-25°C. Traders appear to weigh these consensus runs heavily, with updates expected from the next model cycles ahead of the overnight period.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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