Trader consensus heavily favors a 15°C minimum in Ankara on August 30, driven by official forecasts from the Turkish Meteorological Service and international models showing mostly clear skies overnight with light northerly winds and moderate humidity, promoting radiative cooling to that level. This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where average lows hover near 16°C amid seasonal transition, with no significant weather systems or fronts altering the pattern. Measurement at standard stations like Esenboğa would likely confirm this threshold under current stable high-pressure conditions. A realistic challenge could arise from unexpected increased cloud cover or stronger winds reducing cooling rates, potentially raising the minimum by 1–2°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa ad Ankara il 30 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa ad Ankara il 30 agosto?
15°C 96%
14°C 27%
13°C 5%
12°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 ago 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
4%
13°C
5%
14°C
27%
15°C
96%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 96%
14°C 27%
13°C 5%
12°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 ago 2026
9°C or below
$150 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$37 Vol.
1%
12°C
$82 Vol.
4%
13°C
$96 Vol.
5%
14°C
$0 Vol.
27%
15°C
$195 Vol.
96%
16°C
$79 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$46 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$238 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 15°C minimum in Ankara on August 30, driven by official forecasts from the Turkish Meteorological Service and international models showing mostly clear skies overnight with light northerly winds and moderate humidity, promoting radiative cooling to that level. This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where average lows hover near 16°C amid seasonal transition, with no significant weather systems or fronts altering the pattern. Measurement at standard stations like Esenboğa would likely confirm this threshold under current stable high-pressure conditions. A realistic challenge could arise from unexpected increased cloud cover or stronger winds reducing cooling rates, potentially raising the minimum by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$996Data di fine
30 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 15°C minimum in Ankara on August 30, driven by official forecasts from the Turkish Meteorological Service and international models showing mostly clear skies overnight with light northerly winds and moderate humidity, promoting radiative cooling to that level. This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where average lows hover near 16°C amid seasonal transition, with no significant weather systems or fronts altering the pattern. Measurement at standard stations like Esenboğa would likely confirm this threshold under current stable high-pressure conditions. A realistic challenge could arise from unexpected increased cloud cover or stronger winds reducing cooling rates, potentially raising the minimum by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$996Data di fine
30 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors a 15°C minimum in Ankara on August 30, driven by official forecasts from the Turkish Meteorological Service and international models showing mostly clear skies overnight with light northerly winds and moderate humidity, promoting radiative cooling to that level. This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where average lows hover near 16°C amid seasonal transition, with no significant weather systems or fronts altering the pattern. Measurement at standard stations like Esenboğa would likely confirm this threshold under current stable high-pressure conditions. A realistic challenge could arise from unexpected increased cloud cover or stronger winds reducing cooling rates, potentially raising the minimum by 1–2°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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