Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate a clear to mostly clear night over Amsterdam on August 24, with light easterly winds of 5–12 mph promoting moderate radiative cooling under high pressure. Overnight lows are projected in the 11–13°C range, aligning near the climatological average minimum of 12.9°C for the date, though slight variations in cloud cover and wind speed could shift the actual low by 1–2°C. This uncertainty, combined with the market's tight spread between warmer (16°C+) and cooler (6°C or below) outcomes, reflects traders weighting the potential for localized urban heat island effects or minor model discrepancies in boundary-layer temperature. Updated runs ahead of the overnight period will likely refine the precise minimum recorded at official stations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Amsterdam il 24 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Amsterdam il 24 agosto?
16°C o superiore 40%
6°C o meno 40%
11°C 20%
10°C 19%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
6°C o meno
40%
7°C
13%
8°C
15%
9°C
13%
10°C
19%
11°C
20%
12°C
17%
13°C
10%
14°C
9%
15°C
7%
16°C o superiore
40%
16°C o superiore 40%
6°C o meno 40%
11°C 20%
10°C 19%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
6°C o meno
$85 Vol.
40%
7°C
$5 Vol.
13%
8°C
$5 Vol.
15%
9°C
$0 Vol.
13%
10°C
$0 Vol.
19%
11°C
$0 Vol.
20%
12°C
$0 Vol.
17%
13°C
$0 Vol.
10%
14°C
$25 Vol.
9%
15°C
$5 Vol.
7%
16°C o superiore
$126 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate a clear to mostly clear night over Amsterdam on August 24, with light easterly winds of 5–12 mph promoting moderate radiative cooling under high pressure. Overnight lows are projected in the 11–13°C range, aligning near the climatological average minimum of 12.9°C for the date, though slight variations in cloud cover and wind speed could shift the actual low by 1–2°C. This uncertainty, combined with the market's tight spread between warmer (16°C+) and cooler (6°C or below) outcomes, reflects traders weighting the potential for localized urban heat island effects or minor model discrepancies in boundary-layer temperature. Updated runs ahead of the overnight period will likely refine the precise minimum recorded at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Volume
$251Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate a clear to mostly clear night over Amsterdam on August 24, with light easterly winds of 5–12 mph promoting moderate radiative cooling under high pressure. Overnight lows are projected in the 11–13°C range, aligning near the climatological average minimum of 12.9°C for the date, though slight variations in cloud cover and wind speed could shift the actual low by 1–2°C. This uncertainty, combined with the market's tight spread between warmer (16°C+) and cooler (6°C or below) outcomes, reflects traders weighting the potential for localized urban heat island effects or minor model discrepancies in boundary-layer temperature. Updated runs ahead of the overnight period will likely refine the precise minimum recorded at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$251Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate a clear to mostly clear night over Amsterdam on August 24, with light easterly winds of 5–12 mph promoting moderate radiative cooling under high pressure. Overnight lows are projected in the 11–13°C range, aligning near the climatological average minimum of 12.9°C for the date, though slight variations in cloud cover and wind speed could shift the actual low by 1–2°C. This uncertainty, combined with the market's tight spread between warmer (16°C+) and cooler (6°C or below) outcomes, reflects traders weighting the potential for localized urban heat island effects or minor model discrepancies in boundary-layer temperature. Updated runs ahead of the overnight period will likely refine the precise minimum recorded at official stations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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