The market's heavy weighting toward just 1-100 Gold Cards sold in 2026 reflects the program's limited uptake since its September 2025 executive order launch. As of mid-2026, official updates showed only one approval and roughly 165 paid processing fees amid hundreds of applications, far below initial projections of tens of thousands. Delays in adjudication, legal challenges over the $1 million gift structure and expedited EB-1/EB-2 pathways, plus questions about processing speed have deterred participants. Recent congressional testimony and Department of Homeland Security data through spring 2026 confirm the slow pace, with no major acceleration reported in subsequent months. Trader consensus prices in the "wisdom of crowds" appear anchored to these persistent rollout frictions rather than higher-volume scenarios.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoQuante carte d'oro venderà Trump nel 2026?
1-100 82.7%
101-1k 5.8%
>100k 4.5%
1k-2,5k 3.4%
$290,545 Vol.
$290,545 Vol.
1-100
83%
101-1k
6%
1k-2,5k
3%
2.5k-5k
2%
5k-10k
1%
10mila-25mila
2%
25k-100k
1%
>100k
5%
1-100 82.7%
101-1k 5.8%
>100k 4.5%
1k-2,5k 3.4%
$290,545 Vol.
$290,545 Vol.
1-100
83%
101-1k
6%
1k-2,5k
3%
2.5k-5k
2%
5k-10k
1%
10mila-25mila
2%
25k-100k
1%
>100k
5%
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The market's heavy weighting toward just 1-100 Gold Cards sold in 2026 reflects the program's limited uptake since its September 2025 executive order launch. As of mid-2026, official updates showed only one approval and roughly 165 paid processing fees amid hundreds of applications, far below initial projections of tens of thousands. Delays in adjudication, legal challenges over the $1 million gift structure and expedited EB-1/EB-2 pathways, plus questions about processing speed have deterred participants. Recent congressional testimony and Department of Homeland Security data through spring 2026 confirm the slow pace, with no major acceleration reported in subsequent months. Trader consensus prices in the "wisdom of crowds" appear anchored to these persistent rollout frictions rather than higher-volume scenarios.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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