Recent polling shows President Trump's job approval hovering in the low-to-mid 30s amid the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict and its economic fallout. Resumed strikes since mid-July, coupled with elevated gas prices and public skepticism over costs and casualties, have driven steady erosion, including record net lows in trackers like Economist/YouGov. Midterm concerns and affordability pressures further weigh on sentiment, keeping averages clustered near 34-38 percent across major outlets. With the August 21 snapshot just days away, traders price narrow bands tightly because short-term poll volatility and any incremental diplomatic signals could shift the final reading within this compressed window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoValutazione dell'approvazione di Trump il 21 agosto?
38,0–38,4 40%
<37,0 39%
37,0–37,4 39%
39,0+ 39%
<37,0
39%
37,0–37,4
39%
37,5–37,9
38%
38,0–38,4
40%
38,5–38,9
38%
39,0+
39%
38,0–38,4 40%
<37,0 39%
37,0–37,4 39%
39,0+ 39%
<37,0
39%
37,0–37,4
39%
37,5–37,9
38%
38,0–38,4
40%
38,5–38,9
38%
39,0+
39%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercato aperto: Aug 14, 2026, 5:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows President Trump's job approval hovering in the low-to-mid 30s amid the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict and its economic fallout. Resumed strikes since mid-July, coupled with elevated gas prices and public skepticism over costs and casualties, have driven steady erosion, including record net lows in trackers like Economist/YouGov. Midterm concerns and affordability pressures further weigh on sentiment, keeping averages clustered near 34-38 percent across major outlets. With the August 21 snapshot just days away, traders price narrow bands tightly because short-term poll volatility and any incremental diplomatic signals could shift the final reading within this compressed window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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