Trump’s approval rating has declined steadily through 2025 into August 2026, recently reaching lows of 33% in Reuters/Ipsos polling and 35% in Economist/YouGov surveys, with aggregates near 37-38%. Key drivers include the administration’s resumption of strikes on Iran in mid-July and the ensuing cycle of military exchanges, alongside persistent voter concerns over inflation, the cost of living, and economic management. These issues have weighed particularly on younger voters and contributed to net approvals at or near record lows for the second term. With the November 2026 midterms approaching, further movement in congressional generic ballots or additional foreign policy developments could shape whether ratings dip lower or stabilize before year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$116,053 Vol.
31 dic 2026
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$116,053 Vol.
35%
$79,544 Vol.
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$9,725 Vol.
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$4,066 Vol.
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$3,217 Vol.
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.Trump’s approval rating has declined steadily through 2025 into August 2026, recently reaching lows of 33% in Reuters/Ipsos polling and 35% in Economist/YouGov surveys, with aggregates near 37-38%. Key drivers include the administration’s resumption of strikes on Iran in mid-July and the ensuing cycle of military exchanges, alongside persistent voter concerns over inflation, the cost of living, and economic management. These issues have weighed particularly on younger voters and contributed to net approvals at or near record lows for the second term. With the November 2026 midterms approaching, further movement in congressional generic ballots or additional foreign policy developments could shape whether ratings dip lower or stabilize before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Mercato aperto: Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Volume
$116,053Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.Trump’s approval rating has declined steadily through 2025 into August 2026, recently reaching lows of 33% in Reuters/Ipsos polling and 35% in Economist/YouGov surveys, with aggregates near 37-38%. Key drivers include the administration’s resumption of strikes on Iran in mid-July and the ensuing cycle of military exchanges, alongside persistent voter concerns over inflation, the cost of living, and economic management. These issues have weighed particularly on younger voters and contributed to net approvals at or near record lows for the second term. With the November 2026 midterms approaching, further movement in congressional generic ballots or additional foreign policy developments could shape whether ratings dip lower or stabilize before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Volume
$116,053Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump’s approval rating has declined steadily through 2025 into August 2026, recently reaching lows of 33% in Reuters/Ipsos polling and 35% in Economist/YouGov surveys, with aggregates near 37-38%. Key drivers include the administration’s resumption of strikes on Iran in mid-July and the ensuing cycle of military exchanges, alongside persistent voter concerns over inflation, the cost of living, and economic management. These issues have weighed particularly on younger voters and contributed to net approvals at or near record lows for the second term. With the November 2026 midterms approaching, further movement in congressional generic ballots or additional foreign policy developments could shape whether ratings dip lower or stabilize before year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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