Recent historical posting patterns, with Musk averaging roughly 25-35 tweets daily in recent weeks amid steady X platform engagement and business updates, anchor trader sentiment around the 180-219 tweet range for the August 11-18 period. The closely matched 17.5% probabilities on the 180-199 and 200-219 bins reflect uncertainty over whether routine company commentary and public discourse will push totals higher or hold steady. Momentum could shift with Tesla's upcoming AI Day on August 19, which often spurs increased activity in the preceding week, while quieter weekends or fewer breaking developments typically cap output. Broader cultural factors like Musk's high-visibility role on X continue to sustain elevated engagement compared to earlier years, though exact weekly totals remain sensitive to real-time events.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato180-199 18%
200-219 18%
220-239 15%
160-179 14%
$86,390 Vol.
$86,390 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
4%
140-159
8%
160-179
14%
180-199
18%
200-219
18%
220-239
15%
240-259
11%
260-279
7%
280-299
3%
300-319
2%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 18%
200-219 18%
220-239 15%
160-179 14%
$86,390 Vol.
$86,390 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
4%
140-159
8%
160-179
14%
180-199
18%
200-219
18%
220-239
15%
240-259
11%
260-279
7%
280-299
3%
300-319
2%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent historical posting patterns, with Musk averaging roughly 25-35 tweets daily in recent weeks amid steady X platform engagement and business updates, anchor trader sentiment around the 180-219 tweet range for the August 11-18 period. The closely matched 17.5% probabilities on the 180-199 and 200-219 bins reflect uncertainty over whether routine company commentary and public discourse will push totals higher or hold steady. Momentum could shift with Tesla's upcoming AI Day on August 19, which often spurs increased activity in the preceding week, while quieter weekends or fewer breaking developments typically cap output. Broader cultural factors like Musk's high-visibility role on X continue to sustain elevated engagement compared to earlier years, though exact weekly totals remain sensitive to real-time events.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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