Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clearest outcome for Elon Musk’s X activity over the August 8-10 window because his recent daily pace—typically 20-35 posts—aligns with moderate weekend engagement rather than peak news-driven spikes. Precursor weekly markets showed 180-199 posts in seven days, but shorter holiday-adjacent stretches often trend lower without major product launches or controversies. Current activity centers on Grok image-editing updates and routine replies, with no confirmed high-stakes events expected to accelerate output before the period closes. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects historical patterns where volume fluctuates with platform announcements yet rarely sustains extreme bursts over brief intervals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato40-64 56%
<40 25%
65-89 15%
90-114 3.1%
$122,280 Vol.
$122,280 Vol.
10 ago 2026
<40
25%
40-64
56%
65-89
15%
90-114
3%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 56%
<40 25%
65-89 15%
90-114 3.1%
$122,280 Vol.
$122,280 Vol.
10 ago 2026
<40
$26,214 Vol.
25%
40-64
$14,399 Vol.
56%
65-89
$15,170 Vol.
15%
90-114
$18,061 Vol.
3%
115-139
$17,003 Vol.
1%
140-164
$9,988 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$11,580 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$3,943 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$5,406 Vol.
<1%
240+
$5,514 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clearest outcome for Elon Musk’s X activity over the August 8-10 window because his recent daily pace—typically 20-35 posts—aligns with moderate weekend engagement rather than peak news-driven spikes. Precursor weekly markets showed 180-199 posts in seven days, but shorter holiday-adjacent stretches often trend lower without major product launches or controversies. Current activity centers on Grok image-editing updates and routine replies, with no confirmed high-stakes events expected to accelerate output before the period closes. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects historical patterns where volume fluctuates with platform announcements yet rarely sustains extreme bursts over brief intervals.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$122,280Data di fine
10 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clearest outcome for Elon Musk’s X activity over the August 8-10 window because his recent daily pace—typically 20-35 posts—aligns with moderate weekend engagement rather than peak news-driven spikes. Precursor weekly markets showed 180-199 posts in seven days, but shorter holiday-adjacent stretches often trend lower without major product launches or controversies. Current activity centers on Grok image-editing updates and routine replies, with no confirmed high-stakes events expected to accelerate output before the period closes. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects historical patterns where volume fluctuates with platform announcements yet rarely sustains extreme bursts over brief intervals.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$122,280Data di fine
10 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clearest outcome for Elon Musk’s X activity over the August 8-10 window because his recent daily pace—typically 20-35 posts—aligns with moderate weekend engagement rather than peak news-driven spikes. Precursor weekly markets showed 180-199 posts in seven days, but shorter holiday-adjacent stretches often trend lower without major product launches or controversies. Current activity centers on Grok image-editing updates and routine replies, with no confirmed high-stakes events expected to accelerate output before the period closes. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects historical patterns where volume fluctuates with platform announcements yet rarely sustains extreme bursts over brief intervals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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