Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening and $42 million single-day Tuesday have set an unprecedented pace, pushing the film past $1 billion globally in just six days and establishing it as 2026’s top earner. Traders see these factors supporting a sophomore frame near the $140–160 million range, though August timing introduces greater uncertainty around the drop compared with holiday releases like Endgame. Industry tracking highlights competition between a 55–60% decline versus potential IMAX-driven resilience, leaving the 140–150 million and 150–160 million brackets nearly tied in market-implied odds. The upcoming weekend actuals will resolve the tight spread.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2° Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes)
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2° Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes)
160-170 milioni 51%
150-160 milioni 47%
140-150 milioni 46%
130-140 milioni 43%
NUOVO
NUOVO
9 ago 2026
<130 milioni
43%
130-140 milioni
43%
140-150 milioni
46%
150-160 milioni
47%
160-170 milioni
51%
170-180 milioni
43%
180 milioni+
43%
160-170 milioni 51%
150-160 milioni 47%
140-150 milioni 46%
130-140 milioni 43%
NUOVO
NUOVO
9 ago 2026
<130 milioni
$0 Vol.
43%
130-140 milioni
$0 Vol.
43%
140-150 milioni
$0 Vol.
46%
150-160 milioni
$0 Vol.
47%
160-170 milioni
$0 Vol.
51%
170-180 milioni
$0 Vol.
43%
180 milioni+
$0 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening and $42 million single-day Tuesday have set an unprecedented pace, pushing the film past $1 billion globally in just six days and establishing it as 2026’s top earner. Traders see these factors supporting a sophomore frame near the $140–160 million range, though August timing introduces greater uncertainty around the drop compared with holiday releases like Endgame. Industry tracking highlights competition between a 55–60% decline versus potential IMAX-driven resilience, leaving the 140–150 million and 150–160 million brackets nearly tied in market-implied odds. The upcoming weekend actuals will resolve the tight spread.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercato aperto: Aug 5, 2026, 8:27 PM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
9 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 5, 2026, 8:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening and $42 million single-day Tuesday have set an unprecedented pace, pushing the film past $1 billion globally in just six days and establishing it as 2026’s top earner. Traders see these factors supporting a sophomore frame near the $140–160 million range, though August timing introduces greater uncertainty around the drop compared with holiday releases like Endgame. Industry tracking highlights competition between a 55–60% decline versus potential IMAX-driven resilience, leaving the 140–150 million and 150–160 million brackets nearly tied in market-implied odds. The upcoming weekend actuals will resolve the tight spread.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$0Data di fine
9 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 5, 2026, 8:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening and $42 million single-day Tuesday have set an unprecedented pace, pushing the film past $1 billion globally in just six days and establishing it as 2026’s top earner. Traders see these factors supporting a sophomore frame near the $140–160 million range, though August timing introduces greater uncertainty around the drop compared with holiday releases like Endgame. Industry tracking highlights competition between a 55–60% decline versus potential IMAX-driven resilience, leaving the 140–150 million and 150–160 million brackets nearly tied in market-implied odds. The upcoming weekend actuals will resolve the tight spread.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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