Spider-Man: Brand New Day and Avengers: Doomsday remain locked in a tight contest for 2026's biggest opening weekend, with traders assigning nearly identical implied probabilities amid strong Marvel franchise momentum. Brand New Day already delivered a record domestic launch exceeding $360 million after July previews shattered prior benchmarks, driven by Tom Holland and Zendaya's draw plus broad audience appeal. Doomsday counters with December holiday positioning, multiverse-scale hype featuring returning Avengers leads, and early presale strength that signals event-level turnout comparable to past tentpoles. Toy Story 5, Dune: Messiah, and the Hunger Games prequel trail far behind due to narrower tracking and less crossover anticipation. The outcome hinges on whether Doomsday's December debut can eclipse the summer benchmark.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoWhich movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 52%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 51%
Toy Story 5 <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$71,985 Vol.
$71,985 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
52%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
51%
Toy Story 5
1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 52%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 51%
Toy Story 5 <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$71,985 Vol.
$71,985 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
$22,236 Vol.
52%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$17,105 Vol.
51%
Toy Story 5
$3,657 Vol.
1%
Dune: Messiah
$3,437 Vol.
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$3,404 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day and Avengers: Doomsday remain locked in a tight contest for 2026's biggest opening weekend, with traders assigning nearly identical implied probabilities amid strong Marvel franchise momentum. Brand New Day already delivered a record domestic launch exceeding $360 million after July previews shattered prior benchmarks, driven by Tom Holland and Zendaya's draw plus broad audience appeal. Doomsday counters with December holiday positioning, multiverse-scale hype featuring returning Avengers leads, and early presale strength that signals event-level turnout comparable to past tentpoles. Toy Story 5, Dune: Messiah, and the Hunger Games prequel trail far behind due to narrower tracking and less crossover anticipation. The outcome hinges on whether Doomsday's December debut can eclipse the summer benchmark.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercato aperto: Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Volume
$71,985Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day and Avengers: Doomsday remain locked in a tight contest for 2026's biggest opening weekend, with traders assigning nearly identical implied probabilities amid strong Marvel franchise momentum. Brand New Day already delivered a record domestic launch exceeding $360 million after July previews shattered prior benchmarks, driven by Tom Holland and Zendaya's draw plus broad audience appeal. Doomsday counters with December holiday positioning, multiverse-scale hype featuring returning Avengers leads, and early presale strength that signals event-level turnout comparable to past tentpoles. Toy Story 5, Dune: Messiah, and the Hunger Games prequel trail far behind due to narrower tracking and less crossover anticipation. The outcome hinges on whether Doomsday's December debut can eclipse the summer benchmark.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$71,985Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day and Avengers: Doomsday remain locked in a tight contest for 2026's biggest opening weekend, with traders assigning nearly identical implied probabilities amid strong Marvel franchise momentum. Brand New Day already delivered a record domestic launch exceeding $360 million after July previews shattered prior benchmarks, driven by Tom Holland and Zendaya's draw plus broad audience appeal. Doomsday counters with December holiday positioning, multiverse-scale hype featuring returning Avengers leads, and early presale strength that signals event-level turnout comparable to past tentpoles. Toy Story 5, Dune: Messiah, and the Hunger Games prequel trail far behind due to narrower tracking and less crossover anticipation. The outcome hinges on whether Doomsday's December debut can eclipse the summer benchmark.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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