Elon Musk’s tweet volume in the August 7–14 window sits in a tight band of market-implied odds centered on the 180–259 range, reflecting traders’ assessment of his baseline posting cadence amid a busy operational schedule. Recent SpaceX Starlink launch activity, including multiple Falcon 9 missions scheduled for the period, has historically prompted spikes in commentary and updates from the account, while ongoing Tesla and xAI developments add steady engagement. Historical weekly totals show wide variance driven by workload, with averages often landing between 150 and 300 posts depending on news cycles and personal involvement. The narrow spread among leading bins underscores how even modest shifts in launch timing, product announcements, or external events could swing the final count across several brackets.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato180-199 17%
200-219 17%
220-239 16%
240-259 14%
$81,755 Vol.
$81,755 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
3%
140-159
6%
160-179
13%
180-199
17%
200-219
17%
220-239
16%
240-259
14%
260-279
9%
280-299
4%
300-319
2%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 17%
200-219 17%
220-239 16%
240-259 14%
$81,755 Vol.
$81,755 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
3%
140-159
6%
160-179
13%
180-199
17%
200-219
17%
220-239
16%
240-259
14%
260-279
9%
280-299
4%
300-319
2%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s tweet volume in the August 7–14 window sits in a tight band of market-implied odds centered on the 180–259 range, reflecting traders’ assessment of his baseline posting cadence amid a busy operational schedule. Recent SpaceX Starlink launch activity, including multiple Falcon 9 missions scheduled for the period, has historically prompted spikes in commentary and updates from the account, while ongoing Tesla and xAI developments add steady engagement. Historical weekly totals show wide variance driven by workload, with averages often landing between 150 and 300 posts depending on news cycles and personal involvement. The narrow spread among leading bins underscores how even modest shifts in launch timing, product announcements, or external events could swing the final count across several brackets.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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