Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clearest base case for Elon Musk’s activity across August 6-8, reflecting his recent daily pace of roughly 13-21 posts amid a relatively quiet stretch with no major SpaceX launches, Tesla earnings, or political firestorms. Historical patterns show Musk averaging 25-plus tweets on ordinary days, but weekend timing and the absence of breaking news have capped expectations for a surge into the 65-89 bin. Recent X posts confirm steady engagement on Tesla Megapack updates and lighter replies rather than extended threads, reinforcing market-implied odds that favor moderate volume over the high-activity scenarios that dominate during product events or controversies.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato40-64 48%
65-89 27%
<40 17%
90-114 8%
$44,978 Vol.
$44,978 Vol.
8 ago 2026
<40
17%
40-64
48%
65-89
27%
90-114
8%
115-139
2%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 48%
65-89 27%
<40 17%
90-114 8%
$44,978 Vol.
$44,978 Vol.
8 ago 2026
<40
$6,511 Vol.
17%
40-64
$4,408 Vol.
48%
65-89
$2,968 Vol.
27%
90-114
$4,410 Vol.
8%
115-139
$6,411 Vol.
2%
140-164
$8,595 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$2,210 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$5,762 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$1,771 Vol.
<1%
240+
$1,931 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clearest base case for Elon Musk’s activity across August 6-8, reflecting his recent daily pace of roughly 13-21 posts amid a relatively quiet stretch with no major SpaceX launches, Tesla earnings, or political firestorms. Historical patterns show Musk averaging 25-plus tweets on ordinary days, but weekend timing and the absence of breaking news have capped expectations for a surge into the 65-89 bin. Recent X posts confirm steady engagement on Tesla Megapack updates and lighter replies rather than extended threads, reinforcing market-implied odds that favor moderate volume over the high-activity scenarios that dominate during product events or controversies.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$44,978Data di fine
8 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clearest base case for Elon Musk’s activity across August 6-8, reflecting his recent daily pace of roughly 13-21 posts amid a relatively quiet stretch with no major SpaceX launches, Tesla earnings, or political firestorms. Historical patterns show Musk averaging 25-plus tweets on ordinary days, but weekend timing and the absence of breaking news have capped expectations for a surge into the 65-89 bin. Recent X posts confirm steady engagement on Tesla Megapack updates and lighter replies rather than extended threads, reinforcing market-implied odds that favor moderate volume over the high-activity scenarios that dominate during product events or controversies.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$44,978Data di fine
8 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clearest base case for Elon Musk’s activity across August 6-8, reflecting his recent daily pace of roughly 13-21 posts amid a relatively quiet stretch with no major SpaceX launches, Tesla earnings, or political firestorms. Historical patterns show Musk averaging 25-plus tweets on ordinary days, but weekend timing and the absence of breaking news have capped expectations for a surge into the 65-89 bin. Recent X posts confirm steady engagement on Tesla Megapack updates and lighter replies rather than extended threads, reinforcing market-implied odds that favor moderate volume over the high-activity scenarios that dominate during product events or controversies.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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