Diplomatic resistance from Denmark and Greenlandic authorities, reinforced by NATO allies and the narrow window before 2027, drives the 96.6% trader consensus against U.S. acquisition of the territory. January 2026 talks produced only a framework for Arctic cooperation without sovereignty transfer, after earlier tariff threats and military options were de-escalated. Full acquisition would require Greenlandic consent, Danish approval, congressional action, and international legal compliance—barriers that have shown no movement in recent months. Scenarios that could still shift odds include a rapid Greenland independence referendum favoring association with the United States or an unforeseen bilateral breakthrough, though both face steep procedural and political hurdles in the remaining timeframe.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
3% probabilità
$35,301,899 Vol.
$35,301,899 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
3% probabilità
$35,301,899 Vol.
$35,301,899 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Diplomatic resistance from Denmark and Greenlandic authorities, reinforced by NATO allies and the narrow window before 2027, drives the 96.6% trader consensus against U.S. acquisition of the territory. January 2026 talks produced only a framework for Arctic cooperation without sovereignty transfer, after earlier tariff threats and military options were de-escalated. Full acquisition would require Greenlandic consent, Danish approval, congressional action, and international legal compliance—barriers that have shown no movement in recent months. Scenarios that could still shift odds include a rapid Greenland independence referendum favoring association with the United States or an unforeseen bilateral breakthrough, though both face steep procedural and political hurdles in the remaining timeframe.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Mercato aperto: Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ET
Volume
$35,301,899Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Diplomatic resistance from Denmark and Greenlandic authorities, reinforced by NATO allies and the narrow window before 2027, drives the 96.6% trader consensus against U.S. acquisition of the territory. January 2026 talks produced only a framework for Arctic cooperation without sovereignty transfer, after earlier tariff threats and military options were de-escalated. Full acquisition would require Greenlandic consent, Danish approval, congressional action, and international legal compliance—barriers that have shown no movement in recent months. Scenarios that could still shift odds include a rapid Greenland independence referendum favoring association with the United States or an unforeseen bilateral breakthrough, though both face steep procedural and political hurdles in the remaining timeframe.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Volume
$35,301,899Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Diplomatic resistance from Denmark and Greenlandic authorities, reinforced by NATO allies and the narrow window before 2027, drives the 96.6% trader consensus against U.S. acquisition of the territory. January 2026 talks produced only a framework for Arctic cooperation without sovereignty transfer, after earlier tariff threats and military options were de-escalated. Full acquisition would require Greenlandic consent, Danish approval, congressional action, and international legal compliance—barriers that have shown no movement in recent months. Scenarios that could still shift odds include a rapid Greenland independence referendum favoring association with the United States or an unforeseen bilateral breakthrough, though both face steep procedural and political hurdles in the remaining timeframe.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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