Elon Musk's tweet volume over the August 20-22 window reflects his established pattern of high-frequency posting that fluctuates sharply with company news cycles, regulatory developments, and real-time commentary. Traders see the tight contest between the 40-64 and 65-89 buckets as evidence of typical daily output near 15-25 posts, tempered by the possibility of a quieter stretch or an unexpected catalyst such as a Tesla product update or SpaceX launch timeline. Historical variance shows Musk can exceed 30 tweets daily during active periods while dropping below 15 when focused on travel or internal priorities, creating the observed spread across mid-range outcomes and low probabilities for extremes above 165. The short three-day horizon limits late surprises but keeps resolution sensitive to any verified announcements in the immediate lead-up.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato40-64 46%
65-89 40%
140-164 29%
90-114 28%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 ago 2026
<40
33%
40-64
46%
65-89
40%
90-114
28%
115-139
27%
140-164
29%
165-189
3%
190-214
3%
215-239
3%
240+
3%
40-64 46%
65-89 40%
140-164 29%
90-114 28%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 ago 2026
<40
$90 Vol.
33%
40-64
$0 Vol.
46%
65-89
$0 Vol.
40%
90-114
$0 Vol.
28%
115-139
$0 Vol.
27%
140-164
$0 Vol.
29%
165-189
$0 Vol.
3%
190-214
$0 Vol.
3%
215-239
$0 Vol.
3%
240+
$5 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's tweet volume over the August 20-22 window reflects his established pattern of high-frequency posting that fluctuates sharply with company news cycles, regulatory developments, and real-time commentary. Traders see the tight contest between the 40-64 and 65-89 buckets as evidence of typical daily output near 15-25 posts, tempered by the possibility of a quieter stretch or an unexpected catalyst such as a Tesla product update or SpaceX launch timeline. Historical variance shows Musk can exceed 30 tweets daily during active periods while dropping below 15 when focused on travel or internal priorities, creating the observed spread across mid-range outcomes and low probabilities for extremes above 165. The short three-day horizon limits late surprises but keeps resolution sensitive to any verified announcements in the immediate lead-up.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Volume
$95Data di fine
22 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 4:07 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's tweet volume over the August 20-22 window reflects his established pattern of high-frequency posting that fluctuates sharply with company news cycles, regulatory developments, and real-time commentary. Traders see the tight contest between the 40-64 and 65-89 buckets as evidence of typical daily output near 15-25 posts, tempered by the possibility of a quieter stretch or an unexpected catalyst such as a Tesla product update or SpaceX launch timeline. Historical variance shows Musk can exceed 30 tweets daily during active periods while dropping below 15 when focused on travel or internal priorities, creating the observed spread across mid-range outcomes and low probabilities for extremes above 165. The short three-day horizon limits late surprises but keeps resolution sensitive to any verified announcements in the immediate lead-up.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$95Data di fine
22 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 4:07 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's tweet volume over the August 20-22 window reflects his established pattern of high-frequency posting that fluctuates sharply with company news cycles, regulatory developments, and real-time commentary. Traders see the tight contest between the 40-64 and 65-89 buckets as evidence of typical daily output near 15-25 posts, tempered by the possibility of a quieter stretch or an unexpected catalyst such as a Tesla product update or SpaceX launch timeline. Historical variance shows Musk can exceed 30 tweets daily during active periods while dropping below 15 when focused on travel or internal priorities, creating the observed spread across mid-range outcomes and low probabilities for extremes above 165. The short three-day horizon limits late surprises but keeps resolution sensitive to any verified announcements in the immediate lead-up.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti