Wellington's August climatology features typical daily highs near 12°C amid cooler Southern Hemisphere winter conditions, with NIWA outlooks indicating near-average or slightly below-average temperatures for the region. Short-term forecast models currently align on a maximum near 12–13°C for August 2, supporting the market's strong preference for 13°C as the leading outcome while assigning meaningful probability to 12°C. Recent model consensus and stable atmospheric patterns have reinforced this positioning ahead of the final observational window, with any late shifts in high-pressure influence or wind patterns the primary variables that could alter the recorded peak.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Wellington il 2 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Wellington il 2 agosto?
13°C 56%
12°C 32%
14°C 10%
15°C 3%
NUOVO
$15,906 Vol.
NUOVO
$15,906 Vol.
2 ago 2026
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
3%
12°C
32%
13°C
56%
14°C
10%
15°C
3%
16°C or higher
<1%
13°C 56%
12°C 32%
14°C 10%
15°C 3%
NUOVO
$15,906 Vol.
NUOVO
$15,906 Vol.
2 ago 2026
6°C or below
$372 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$382 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$392 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$392 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$1,284 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$2,866 Vol.
3%
12°C
$2,967 Vol.
32%
13°C
$2,832 Vol.
56%
14°C
$2,458 Vol.
10%
15°C
$1,624 Vol.
3%
16°C or higher
$337 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington's August climatology features typical daily highs near 12°C amid cooler Southern Hemisphere winter conditions, with NIWA outlooks indicating near-average or slightly below-average temperatures for the region. Short-term forecast models currently align on a maximum near 12–13°C for August 2, supporting the market's strong preference for 13°C as the leading outcome while assigning meaningful probability to 12°C. Recent model consensus and stable atmospheric patterns have reinforced this positioning ahead of the final observational window, with any late shifts in high-pressure influence or wind patterns the primary variables that could alter the recorded peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$15,906Data di fine
2 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington's August climatology features typical daily highs near 12°C amid cooler Southern Hemisphere winter conditions, with NIWA outlooks indicating near-average or slightly below-average temperatures for the region. Short-term forecast models currently align on a maximum near 12–13°C for August 2, supporting the market's strong preference for 13°C as the leading outcome while assigning meaningful probability to 12°C. Recent model consensus and stable atmospheric patterns have reinforced this positioning ahead of the final observational window, with any late shifts in high-pressure influence or wind patterns the primary variables that could alter the recorded peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,906Data di fine
2 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wellington's August climatology features typical daily highs near 12°C amid cooler Southern Hemisphere winter conditions, with NIWA outlooks indicating near-average or slightly below-average temperatures for the region. Short-term forecast models currently align on a maximum near 12–13°C for August 2, supporting the market's strong preference for 13°C as the leading outcome while assigning meaningful probability to 12°C. Recent model consensus and stable atmospheric patterns have reinforced this positioning ahead of the final observational window, with any late shifts in high-pressure influence or wind patterns the primary variables that could alter the recorded peak.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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