Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate Tel Aviv will likely peak near 33°C on August 5 under stable subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and moderate northerly flow typical for early August. These conditions favor the market's heavy weighting toward 33°C (62% implied probability) over 32°C (28%), as coastal sea breezes temper extremes while diurnal heating pushes maxima slightly above the 30–31°C historical average. Model consensus shows limited spread for intensification or cooling before resolution, with any revisions likely tied to updated runs or real-time observations from official stations. Trader sentiment reflects this tight scientific outlook rather than anomalous heatwave signals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Tel Aviv il 5 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Tel Aviv il 5 agosto?
33°C 61%
32°C 28%
34°C 6%
35°C <1%
NUOVO
$20,332 Vol.
NUOVO
$20,332 Vol.
5 ago 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
28%
33°C
61%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 61%
32°C 28%
34°C 6%
35°C <1%
NUOVO
$20,332 Vol.
NUOVO
$20,332 Vol.
5 ago 2026
28°C or below
$566 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,374 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$599 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,183 Vol.
1%
32°C
$3,945 Vol.
28%
33°C
$4,260 Vol.
61%
34°C
$4,043 Vol.
6%
35°C
$731 Vol.
1%
36°C
$437 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$425 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$2,770 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate Tel Aviv will likely peak near 33°C on August 5 under stable subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and moderate northerly flow typical for early August. These conditions favor the market's heavy weighting toward 33°C (62% implied probability) over 32°C (28%), as coastal sea breezes temper extremes while diurnal heating pushes maxima slightly above the 30–31°C historical average. Model consensus shows limited spread for intensification or cooling before resolution, with any revisions likely tied to updated runs or real-time observations from official stations. Trader sentiment reflects this tight scientific outlook rather than anomalous heatwave signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$20,332Data di fine
5 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate Tel Aviv will likely peak near 33°C on August 5 under stable subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and moderate northerly flow typical for early August. These conditions favor the market's heavy weighting toward 33°C (62% implied probability) over 32°C (28%), as coastal sea breezes temper extremes while diurnal heating pushes maxima slightly above the 30–31°C historical average. Model consensus shows limited spread for intensification or cooling before resolution, with any revisions likely tied to updated runs or real-time observations from official stations. Trader sentiment reflects this tight scientific outlook rather than anomalous heatwave signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20,332Data di fine
5 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate Tel Aviv will likely peak near 33°C on August 5 under stable subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and moderate northerly flow typical for early August. These conditions favor the market's heavy weighting toward 33°C (62% implied probability) over 32°C (28%), as coastal sea breezes temper extremes while diurnal heating pushes maxima slightly above the 30–31°C historical average. Model consensus shows limited spread for intensification or cooling before resolution, with any revisions likely tied to updated runs or real-time observations from official stations. Trader sentiment reflects this tight scientific outlook rather than anomalous heatwave signals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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