Current short-term forecasts from European models indicate Munich highs on August 6 likely peaking near 28–29 °C under building high pressure and warm southerly flow, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around these thresholds. Key uncertainties stem from variable convective cloud cover and potential late-day thunderstorms, which could cap daytime maxima by several degrees or allow clearer periods for stronger insolation. Historical August climatology shows typical highs of 23–25 °C, so any departure reflects anomalous warmth; traders weigh the latest DWD and ECMWF runs, where small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of instability determine whether readings clear 29 °C or settle lower.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Monaco di Baviera il 6 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Monaco di Baviera il 6 agosto?
28°C 32%
29°C or higher 26%
27°C 22%
26°C 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 ago 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
9%
26°C
14%
27°C
22%
28°C
32%
29°C or higher
34%
28°C 32%
29°C or higher 26%
27°C 22%
26°C 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 ago 2026
19°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$5 Vol.
1%
22°C
$10 Vol.
2%
23°C
$10 Vol.
2%
24°C
$10 Vol.
2%
25°C
$6 Vol.
9%
26°C
$0 Vol.
14%
27°C
$7 Vol.
22%
28°C
$54 Vol.
32%
29°C or higher
$0 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts from European models indicate Munich highs on August 6 likely peaking near 28–29 °C under building high pressure and warm southerly flow, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around these thresholds. Key uncertainties stem from variable convective cloud cover and potential late-day thunderstorms, which could cap daytime maxima by several degrees or allow clearer periods for stronger insolation. Historical August climatology shows typical highs of 23–25 °C, so any departure reflects anomalous warmth; traders weigh the latest DWD and ECMWF runs, where small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of instability determine whether readings clear 29 °C or settle lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$107Data di fine
6 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts from European models indicate Munich highs on August 6 likely peaking near 28–29 °C under building high pressure and warm southerly flow, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around these thresholds. Key uncertainties stem from variable convective cloud cover and potential late-day thunderstorms, which could cap daytime maxima by several degrees or allow clearer periods for stronger insolation. Historical August climatology shows typical highs of 23–25 °C, so any departure reflects anomalous warmth; traders weigh the latest DWD and ECMWF runs, where small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of instability determine whether readings clear 29 °C or settle lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$107Data di fine
6 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-term forecasts from European models indicate Munich highs on August 6 likely peaking near 28–29 °C under building high pressure and warm southerly flow, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around these thresholds. Key uncertainties stem from variable convective cloud cover and potential late-day thunderstorms, which could cap daytime maxima by several degrees or allow clearer periods for stronger insolation. Historical August climatology shows typical highs of 23–25 °C, so any departure reflects anomalous warmth; traders weigh the latest DWD and ECMWF runs, where small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of instability determine whether readings clear 29 °C or settle lower.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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